What Happened In 2007 and 2017???

We didn't see any investment bloggers posting their net investment losses in 2017. It is like in 2007 if Uncle88888 remembered correctly!

If you are sitting on net investment losses in 2017; you better kick your ass hard and do some deep soul searching whether you should be topping up your CPF accounts instead of investing in the stock market.

In 2007; Uncle8888 was feeling rich with all his paper gains with low cash in his investment portfolio and also set new record net worth too. Bom pi pi!

In 2007; he also looked like he was on target to publish his blog post in 2008 or 2009 on "How I Made $1M In The Stock Market!" LOL!

But; that feeling of rich from the stock market didn't last very long. 

In just 382 days, his investment portfolio was down by -53% and after one decade his investment portfolio is slightly higher than 2007 level. But; this time in 2017 he is not feeling rich but cash rich!


This investing lesson he has learnt the hard way through the last Bull-Bear-Bull cycle on the ground so it is very hard for him NOT to anchor his biasness to what happened in 2007. How to forget!

2,860 days to set a new investment portfolio record without injecting a single cent as investing capital since 1 Jan 2000; and it just took 382 days to go down by -53%!  Even after 10 years in 2017; it is slightly better than 2007 level.

The Moral of the Story

It is terrible to recover from future large losses so it is far better to avoid getting into one at the next Bear market without the capability to inject significant capital into investment portfolio!


Good luck!

May the Bull lasts longer into 2019 and beyond!!

How I Built My Sustainable Retirement Income For Life Using Three Taps Solution Model

Uncle8888 tracks his monthly and annual household expenses to know how much is enough and whether it is still on track.

Uncel88888's Tap 1 CPF OA alone with asset draw-down can cover up to 86% of highest annual household expenses since 2002 @ 2.5% inflation rate till 2038 (81+ old)

Going forward he can focus his investing strategies on Tap 3 (Investment) to achieve i.e. delay gratification! 

Counting The Cost Of University Education at SUTD (7)

Read? Counting The Cost Of University Education at SUTD (6)


Year 1 & 2 (Apr 16 to Dec 17)

One Year After Retirement From Full-time Job As Employee (3)

Read? One Year After Retirement From Full-time Job As Employee (2)


Wide income gap between a freelance low skill worker and full-time managerial grade job in IT sector.

Giving To Freegans. This Is So Much Better Than Having Them To Dig Into Bins

Read? One Uncommon Act Of Kindness! (5)


This is NOT Uncle8888's HDB Block in Hougang!

Uncle8888 saw one old lady stopped at this Riser and she looked and searched the plastic bag for a while and then walked away with one plastic bag. 

When she has moved far way from the Riser. Uncle8888 went to the Riser to take a look and still have one more plastic bag containing one parcel of good wrapped in brown paper. Not sure what is that!

This is HDB flat in Tiong Bahru!

It seen that this is common practice in the heartland to pass food to the freegans community living in the neighbourhood without having them to dig into bins.

Thumb up!

2017 Full Year Investment Performance Report

Read? 9M 2017 Investment Performance Report

A Goal-based Approach Investing Strategy

Uncle8888 has adopted a Goal-based Approach investing strategy by setting for himself a 10-year progressive Goal Targets to be achieved for each year from 2012 to 2021. 

Our investing journey is not Horse Race or Rat Race where we compete against others.  No! It is our investment Marathon Race where we set our own pace and compete against ourselves to win our own race.

Year 6: 2017 Result for Tap No 3 (Cash Flow from Investment Portfolio)

Achieved 45.0% against 54% of 2021 Goal Targets.

Without Mr. Bear; Cash is not King!

Investment Portfolio XIRR
  
Track, Measure and Visualize! 

Without doing it; how to revise investing strategies and to improve year-on-year investing performance? 

Investment Portfolio's XIRR includes all investable cash plus the current stocks value at market closing price as on 30 Jun 2017.

Since one year ago: +12.4%
Since 1 Nov 2008: +2.0%
Since 1 Jan 2003: +7.3%



Since 1 Jan 2000 inception : +6.8%

The reality of riding market cycles of Bull and Bear



Until we master the Art Of Market Timing to optimize our gains; we will be riding up and down the market cycles without real significant gains.

Building Sustainable Retirement Income For Life Across Future Market Cycles
















Real Taps. Real Money!

Tips for newbies/young ones: The bulk of our net worth comes through our saving from our hard earned incomes from our jobs and our investment portfolio will be the Accelerator to become wealthy or reach financial independence earlier when we get it right.


Stop day dreaming from Get Rich Fast scam or 30 minutes a day effort to get rich!

Example Of Using Retained Earning Or Profits

Those Starfishes may recall what Uncle8888 likes to talk on company's balance sheet during kopi session i.e. what is NOT commonly talk about among investment bloggers. Most of them like to shout dividend, dividend, and dividend!

Read? Hyflux to distribute shares in consumer business ahead of possible listing

As Hyfluxshop is at an early stage of growth, the distribution will also enable shareholders to enjoy the potential appreciation in value if and when the proposed listing happens, the company said. The pro forma net trangible assets value of each Hyfluxshop share is about 17.83 Singapore cents.

Based on the pro forma consolidated net tangible assets of the Hyfluxshop Group of about S$20 million as at Sept 30, the distribution will amount to a S$14 million payout to Hyflux shareholders. This will be taken from the company's retained profits, Hyflux said.

1M65 CPF OA Possible Or Not???

Read? How I Accumulate $1M In CPF OA! (2)


1M in CPF OA at 65. 

Possible or not?

Since there is current  limit of voluntary contribution of $37,740 and decreasing CPF OA allocation rate after 35 to 65 from 21% to 3.5% 

One Year After Retirement From Full-time Job As Employee (2)

Read? One Year After Retirement From Full-time Job As Employee


Now Uncle8888 fully understands the meaning of what he had heard before : On some days we eat grass!


As full time employee; we don't eat grass on some days! 

Delay Gratification For Capital Gains Or Collect More Panadols To Ease Heartache???

Like it or not!

Investing is still Game of Strategies and Money; and our account size really matters!

Get our core positions right and the next decades followed we will be receiving undisputed passive income through Panadols dividends once we have fully recovered our invested capital. Not passive then what! 

Don't poke these passive income investors as they are smiling when dividends are automatically credited into their bank account without lifting their fingers or pressing any button on their computer's key board.

After 18 years in the stock market; Uncle8888 now has plenty of spare time for FA, TA, FATA or whatever it takes to "perfect" his trading or investing skills. No more damn excuses! So how?

Status quo?

Delay gratification for capital gains by avoiding 2007 style of investing or collect more panadols to ease heartache as retiree for income like most retirees do?

Keppel O&M to pay US$422m in fines after reaching global resolution on corruption probe

Keppel added that the financial penalty is an extraordinary item and its impact is one-off.

For illustration purposes, had the fines been imposed on Dec 31, 2016, based on the latest audited financial statements for the financial year ended 2016, the net tangible asset per share as at Dec 31, 2016 would have decreased from S$6.34 to S$6.03. Had the fines been imposed on Jan 1, 2016, the earnings per share for the 2016 fiscal year would have dropped from 43.2 cents to 11.7 cents.


Hmm .. walau. Bad news but white candle!

Where goes wrong?

Bought from sellers/Sold to buyers = 4,625,100/4,251,300 = 109%

Shortists tio squeezed???

Our brokers are watching us and will be very scared when market crashes

Read? Contra Trading. Damn Shiok!!! (2) - Refresh


hyom hyom

9:52 AM (8 minutes ago)

to me 

hyom hyom has left a new comment on the post "How you know you no longer Bei Kambing?": 

Hi Jared,

If a person is a bei kambing and knows he is a bei kambing in certain products, that is enlightenment. In trading/investing, that is a big time saver and money saver. 

To be honest, I do not have the balls to trade bitcoin. It can fall 20% within a day. Imagine someone trading leveraged bitcoin futures last week. Futures keep halting due to limit-down. Even popular bitcoin exchanges like coinbase halted trading due to massive panic selling. The wait to get out will be a torture. Don't say only I scared. I think even the broker will be scared.


Uncle8888 is not into contra trading anymore. Chop fingers liao!

One morning when market seriously gap down; his broker called him in the morning to remind him of his outstanding positions to pay up or close by 5 PM or he would force SELL the next morning when market opened.

His broker called him again at 4 pm to repeat reminder!

If your brokers are not scare or worry; it may mean your positions are not large enough! Fact of life as traders!

Buy Slowly And Sell Slowly. How Slow Is Slowly???

10 years have passed since the last STI Bull Peak at Oct 2007 and 8 years since the last STI Bear Low at Mar 2009

Sell slowly on the way to the Bull?

But how slow is slowly?

Can be slowly until becomes cash rich investor. Anyone?

Wishing You Merry Christmas And Happy 2018 New Year!

Personal Investing As Retail Investor Can Be Tougher Than You Initially Thought Of It As Wealth Building

By now, Uncle8888 has read enough of postings in the investment blogosphere by personal investment bloggers; most of these investment bloggers still prefer to take the stronger saver approach to ensure safety and certainty of compounding interests provided by CPF.

Thumb up to Big Daddy for this CPF Top Up scheme!

Personal investing as retail investor can be tougher than you initially thought of it as wealth building.

Create wealth from the market? Anyone?

Market cycles of volatility can cause illusion of paper gains but real heart pain on paper losses.

So it is not easy to beat compounding interests of 2.5% and 4% in CPF! 

How about those ordinary retail investors in the street; it is even harder for them without putting much time and effort in their investment approach unlike these personal investment bloggers?

Enjoy "Free" Coffee Black With Unlimited B.M.W And Read Newspapers

Benefit of senior citizens who have plenty of spare time - unlimited B.M.W. at $60 per month!

Nowadays, Uncle8888 no longer goes to Hougang NLB to read  Business Times and also it has been long time since he last bought a cup of kopi o kosong to drink alone at Kopitiam or Ya Kun. 

Almost everyday except on public holidays; he will go for "free" coffee black, hot green tea and read his newspapers somewhere. 

On some days, he would get more "free" up to two or three time a day when he was thirsty or need to charge up his mobile phone. LOL!

He seldoms leave without bringing out a bottle of water!

"Free" is shiok! Right?

$24 million iced tea company says it's pivoting to the blockchain, and its stock jumps more than 200%

Read? $24 million iced tea company says it's pivoting to the blockchain, and its stock jumps more than 200%

Walau! Sound like dotcom era liao!

One Uncommon Act Of Kindness! (3)

Read? One Uncommon Act Of Kindness! (2)

Dementia is scary!

This morning at Kovan MT station; Uncle8888 while going down the escalator saw this elderly man has been standing near the staircase till he reached the ground of escalator. 

The elderly man looked lost.

Uncle8888 approached him and asked him in Chinese where he want to go. He replied Heartland Mall! Uncle8888 then pointed to the staircase and asked him to go up or take the lift while pointing to the lift!

He then replied in English that he is confused. He remembered going to Heartland Mall is by going up the escalator but there is no escalator going up.

Uncle8888 then tapped his shoulder and told him sometime the escalator changed direction and asked him to walk to the lift!


Scary!

Change of escalator direction can made some elderly folks confused over familiar path that they may have taken before.

How Did I Learn To Become Competent Retail Investor???

Learn from losers. Small losses can't teach us painful lessons as we are likely easily get over these small losses as they DON'T really hurt us much. This is those large losses that hit us so hard that we learnt what is investing in the stock market. We provide winners the money from our savings through hard earned income and we will take winning money from their savings too.

"The market is not your mother. It consists of tough men and women who look for ways to take money away from you instead of pouring milk into your mouth." - Dr. Alexander Elder 


"For the things we have to learn before we can do them, we learn by doing them." - Aristotle 

What did you see?

Do you recall seeing something like this in investment seminar?

Forces At Work In The Stock Market - Nothing More! (2)

Read? Forces At Work In The Stock Market - Nothing More!

How I Accumulate $1M In CPF OA! (2)

Classic examples of stronger savers through CPF top up or becoming competent investor over market cycles through CPFIS


The Maths behind 1M65

Read? 1 Million at 65 Using CPF? Here’s The Math Behind The 1M65 Concept



The Outcome behind 1M61


Read? How I Accumulate $1M In CPF OA!


Read? Some dividends are not meant for investors to keep forever or spend them off??? (2)

Forces At Work In The Stock Market - Nothing More!

How well do you know?

This is Uncle8888's favourite quiz for newbies (Starfish) to explain ...

....

.....

Why blue chips?

Who rule the stock market?

Recording Your Investment Or Stock Transactions Using MS Excel Worksheet Made You A Precision Retail Investors???

Just that MS Excel Worksheet shows value in various formats of presentation up to XXXX decimal points. 

It is just a worksheet and nothing more!

Just because of few pokers out there  in the cyber world poking some fun at these decimal places. 

Why are we are avoiding using MS Excel as CONVENIENT form or media for recording and tracking stock transaction either for performance review or future learning points?

By showing two decimal places; it DOESN'T make one a precision investor. Precision retail investors are those spend lots of time analyzing at finer details!


Anyone can turn on two decimal places with clicks; but not anyone can spend lots of time and effort on detailed analysis before execution.


See the difference!

:-)

Public Bank Is One Example Often Quoted by Investment Writers How Retail Investors Can Became Millionaire!

Those retail investors who have been holding 1,000 shares of Public Bank since its early days are now millionaires!

Golden bank by day & night!

Symbol of wealthy!

Really Got Free Lunch!!!

Tables and chairs provided too to eat the free lunch!

Steady!

Free Delivery Service??? (2)

Read? Free Delivery Service???

Read? Now this is Real Savings!


Singapore Man of Leisure16 December 2017 at 23:47

Golden Rabbit,

I am bemused when people spend so much time on ikan bilis or kacang putih concerns...

I mean its just 1.5% to 3%. OK, sometimes can be as high as 8%.

So happy! So much "savings"! You get lulled to pay for retail prices. 

Then you found out weeks later the item or service you recently bought is available with 50% discount... 


All this because they were distracted by the carrot others have placed in front of them?


Street smart customers often "checkmate" us retailers by offering to pay in cash as they know how much % retailers are paying the credit card companies for each customer credit card transaction ;) 


Try telling those who chase miles and cashbacks that they can also get cashbacks using plain old cash?


LOL!

Any difference between COD and charge to credit card or Paypal?


Why did the shop boss is willing to pay more?

Do you know?

Warren Buffett's Secret Sauce (Refresh)

Thursday, 27 February 2014

Read? Warren Buffett's Secret Sauce


CW8888: This is something retail traders (speculators) haven't learnt enough! Decades of wisdom in it!


Although his fame as an economist is global, Keynes’s stunning success as a professional investor is not well known, even among economists.

When I asked Prof. Paul Krugman after a Chicago talk last year if he was familiar with Keynes’s investment record, he replied that he wasn’t familiar with that part of his life. And this coming from a Nobel Prize winner who is one of the world’s leading Keynesians!

Utlimately, it doesn’t matter who takes the credit for long-term investing principles that build wealth without churning your stomach at every market turn.

If you seek long-term value in businesses that will be around in every market cycle, generate cash and dividends, you will probably make money. The key to success is not only holding onto those stocks through thick and thin, but holding onto the idea of selecting those investments with great care.

The Power Of Nimble!!!

Look at the Power of Nimble - Bitcoin!

When nimble by anyone and everywhere in the world!

True power of speculation!

Nimble only. Most will not die!

On Blog Leave from 15 to 16 Dec 2017 : KL

Uncle8888 last visited KL was some 20 years ago!

A Gift From Blog's Reader

Tuesday, 21 June 2011

Read? Second Gift from Jewel in Aussie


Wah! It was more than 6 years ago!

A gift from her home town in Ipoh when she returned back to Singapore.


Thank you!

Do You Hate Food Queue???

RM 103 for three pax

8 Wise Lessons On Wealth That Singapore's Self-Made Tycoon Peter Lim Can Teach Us

Read? 8 Wise Lessons On Wealth That Singapore's Self-Made Tycoon Peter Lim Can Teach Us


2. Accept the good and bad with equanimity

“When you are holding stocks, if it goes up, don’t be too happy; when it goes down, don’t be too sad. Otherwise, how? Your life will also be fluctuating and you’ll die of a heart attack. If you really lose sleep over it, maybe the best way is to keep the money in the bank.” (Source: Weekender)


CW8888: But; this is how to counter retail traders who love to poke retail investors on paper losses. Right?


No lah!

ONLY when one doesn't depend on partial asset draw-down to partly fund one's living expeneses; one may have to worry too much over paper losses if each of these paper losses is limited or cap at X% of their investing capital.

Without any substantial losses; a few zero beggers won't kill!

Don't concentrate your losses!

Value Cai Png/Moi

$3.20

Turning 55 - and enjoying financial freedom (7)

Read? Turning 55 - and enjoying financial freedom (6)


CONFIRMED!

We can withdraw our MONTHLY accumulated interests from Jan to Nov in CPF SA first; and then followed by CPF OA in the month of Dec!

Why I Don't Leverage Up In The Stock Market?

Kiasu or Kiasi or his Mind and Money Management?

Short-term trading and long-term investing with his initial capital since Jan 2000 and no more adding of capital since then. It is already accumulated saving since Aug 1977 when he started working after NS. He has thought it very carefully. Enough is enough over the initial few years of investing in the stock market. 

There is no need to inject more saving into his investing capital to try make more money in the stock market. 

Being single household income and in his 40s; by limiting his risk exposure to the stock market is far more important than trying to "make" more money in the stock market.

He has been applying this risk and money management till today. 

His position sizing is limited to maximum 10% of his investing CAPITAL since Jan 2000. In this way; his investment portfolio can grow and diversity; but his risk exposure to any stock is consistent across market cycles.

When he has this sense of enough is Enough; Why leverage up? 

Capital is enough!.

Return is enough!

Why ask more?

Feeling of enough is never the same for many of us. 


How many can understand this investing mind?

Kiasu and Kiasi?

Sources Of Cash Flow In 2018

2018 is the first year of tapping bulk of the cash flow from financial assets :

(1) Fixed cash flow from Tap 1

(2) Variable cash flow from Tap 3

(3) Partial cash withdrawal from SRS

(4) Small freelance earned income from 8 HWW (Hour Work Week) + XX VWW (Variable Work Week). 

Can I use CPF Investment to trade???

Can I use CPF Investment to trade?

Yes, you could!

Our “XXXX” can help you to pinpoint which company to trade in and when to get out too. We do conduct previews almost weekly, do email to XXXX to find out more.


Hmm ... Walau! Early morning read this snake oil financial advice to grow CPFIS fund by trading in and out. Chun bo?

FACT: If you are already so successfully in trading your cash fund; then your CPFIS should be treated as your bonds as assets allocation and only switch bonds to equities during stock market crashes when there is higher opportunities of higher return on invested capital.

Read? Your CPF Investment Account : Uncle8888's foolish advice again!!! (4)


BTW.  Here is ....

Real CPF Member. Real Net CPFIS Refund!

Net negative CPFIS Refund means ALL invested capital has been returned to CPF OA!


One thing is clear!

Uncle8888 didn't trade CPF investment in and out. He invested!

Value Seafood Bee Hoon

For food, joining the queue is seldom wrong!

No need to be iron teeth and thinking that those in queue are dummies or not daring to try new stall!

$3.50

Time 19:36

 Non stop queuing

Time 19:41





Time 19:49