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Thursday, 15 August 2019

Dow tanks 800 points in worst day of 2019 after bond market sends recession warning

Stocks plunged Wednesday in the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s worst performance of 2019 after the bond market flashed a troubling signal about the U.S. economy.

The Dow dropped 800.49 points or 3.05% to 2,5479.42, its worst percentage drop of the year and fourth-largest point drop of all time. The S&P 500 fell 85.72 points or 2.93% to 2,840.6, while Nasdaq Composite declined 3.02% to 7,773.94. The Dow gave up the entire rebound from a sell-off earlier in August and fell to a two-month low.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note on Wednesday briefly broke below the 2-year rate, an odd bond market phenomenon that has been a reliable indicator of economic recessions. Investors, worried about the state of the economy, rushed to long-term safe haven assets, pushing the yield on the benchmark 30-year Treasury bond to a new record low on Wednesday.

How about STI immediate reaction to DOW?

SINGAPORE shares skidded when trading began on Thursday, with the Straits Times Index plunging 1.7 per cent, or 54.85 points to 3,092.75 as at 9am. 

By 9.13am, the benchmark index had slipped even further, losing almost 2 per cent, or more than 60 points. 

This comes after Wall Street stocks sold off sharply overnight as recession fears gripped the market. All three major US indexes closed down about 3 per cent on Wednesday, with the blue-chip Dow posting its biggest one-day point drop since October, after two-year Treasury yields surpassed those of 10-year bonds, a widely-viewed US recession warning. 

On the Singapore bourse, decliners outnumbered advancers 131 to 18, after about 46 million shares worth S$64 million changed hands. 

Let see how STI closes today?


  1. Break it convincingly and induces more shorting!

    1. CW,

      Its just a tough market to trade. Unless you know when to sell at intraday highs and lows!

      I don't sadly.

      False breakdown below 3100 :(

      Now at 10:55 am STI is backup to 3115?

      Both shorts and longs lost money with the whipslash.

      I also interested to know how STI will end today!!!

  2. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond dropped to a record low in the morning of Asian trading hours on Thursday, breaching the 2% level for its first time.

    That came just a day after the 30-year Treasury bond touched record lows on Wednesday, amid market fears after the closely watched yields on the 10-year Treasury note and the 2-year inverted.

  3. Everybody and their dogs have been looking for a 2s10s inversion for 2 years already. So it's no surprise for a meaningful emotional response when it finally happened.

    Usually markets will remain volatile for a few weeks, then settle down. Trump will likely tone down his trade war talk ... until US stocks hit higher highs again LOL.

    For the 2008 bear, the initial 2s10s inversion occurred in Dec 2005.

    For the 2001-2002 bear, the initial 2s20s inversion occurred in mid-1998.

  4. For which years of inversions, nothing happened.

    Just to be sure nothing is for sure.

    Or maybe for those years nothing happened because of many other factors?


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