This blog is authored by an old multi-bagger blue chips stock picker uncle from HDB heartland!
"The market is not your mother. It consists of tough men and women who look for ways to take money away from you instead of pouring milk into your mouth." - Dr. Alexander Elder
"For the things we have to learn before we can do them, we learn by doing them." - Aristotle
It is here where I share with you how I did it!
FREE Education in stock market wisdom.
Think Investing as Tug of War - Read more? Click and scroll down
Uncle8888,
ReplyDeleteLOL! Yeah, the longer I am in the markets, the more I realise I don't know. Kekeke!!
Mea culpa --- I was too early in deploying my war chest (about 29% so far). No regrets on the last 15 % points though, as my contrarian indicators were hit. :P
My dual momentum portion is still telling me to remain in cash, although following this indicator to the letter will likely mean missing out on the initial 20% of the move from the absolute bottom.
For those who are patient can also use the % of S&P500 stocks above their 200DMA:
Compare this indicator with the S&P500 chart during GFC
Current picture today
E.g. wait till 15% of S&P500 stocks are above their 200DMA before going back in.
You'll probably miss 15% to 20% of the initial up move, but this is the price to pay for greater assurance that you are in a sustainable uptrend.
Although this focuses on the S&P500, but as correlations go to 1 during crisis period, will also be very relevant to S'pore & Asian markets too! :)