This blog is authored by an old multi-bagger blue chips stock picker uncle from HDB heartland!
"The market is not your mother. It consists of tough men and women who look for ways to take money away from you instead of pouring milk into your mouth." - Dr. Alexander Elder
"For the things we have to learn before we can do them, we learn by doing them." - Aristotle
It is here where I share with you how I did it!
FREE Education in stock market wisdom.
Think Investing as Tug of War - Read more? Click and scroll down
CW,
ReplyDeleteI like your analogy :)
This is why same school, same class, same teachers - the students' grade may vary...
But in real world, we see others got MBA and promoted, we also must get! (Better blame our lack of papers than admit we not as good as others)
Yesterday others follow value investing, I follow also.
Today passive investing is the style everyone put on their lips, I switch!
Some seek answers within.
Some like my weekend customers, like to ask, "Which brands are the most popular?" (Make a wild guess would I include the brand I promoting?)
Quote "But in real world, we see others got MBA and promoted, we also must get! (Better blame our lack of papers than admit we not as good as others)"
DeleteYa. I have been there before. LOL~
Read? Work or Further My Studies?
Buffett also saying the same thing!
ReplyDeletehttps://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/26/buffett-says-out-of-the-three-ways-to-go-broke-liquor-ladies-and-leverage-leverage-is-the-worst.html
Even for those who consider themselves experts, it's dangerous to leverage up too much of their available portfolio. Those who trade products like futures, options, forex, CFDs etc are also using leverage, but usually only a small part of their portfolio, and they will have strict pre-determined plan in-place to handle losses. Those that don't are gamblers & don't have much to lose anyway.
ReplyDeleteBuffett himself is no stranger to leverage & he often uses millions of dollars worth of leveraged derivatives, while telling people that derivatives are WMDs. However he uses them mainly as hedges or as distressed plays, especially during GFC.
The problem with leverage is if over-leveraged and also under-estimating volatility of underlying assets. During a credit crunch / credit crisis induced bear market, even the largest REITs can drop 60% to 75%.
In addition, there will be Billions of dollars worth of rights issues being frantically rolled out to service debts & shore up balance sheets. These recession rights issues not only will dilute DPU, but will also hammer share price, making margin calls more likely. Hence you'll need plenty of spare cash to (1) handle margin calls & (2) handle rights issues to prevent DPU dilution.
To me, leveraged dividend portfolio using underlying assets that are already leveraged is an eventual plan for failure. Unless just to reap rewards during good times, and have a plan to cut when portfolio drops by a certain amount.