Friday, 15 January 2016
What do seasoned retail lnvestors fear the most?
Read? What do Traders fear the most?
You know his answer. Right?
What do seasoned retail Investors with adequate level of stocks holding and strong war chest fear the most?
Slowly scroll ...
War Chest: Collect interests
Stocks holding : Collect Dividends
So, we either collect interests from our war chest or collect dividends from our stocks holding.
Flat market: Collect dividends from our stocks holding AND collect interests from our war chest.
Falling market: Buy slowly, reduce our war chest, reduce interests but increase dividends.
Rising market: Sell slowly, increase our war chest, increase interests but reduce dividends.
How fearful can it be?
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ReplyDeleteFlat market: Collect dividends from stocks holding and collect interests from war chest.
Falling market: Buy slowly and convert interests to dividends
Rising market: Sell slowly and convert higher capital gain to collect interests.
:-)
War Chest: Collect interests
ReplyDeleteStocks holding : Collect Dividends
So, we either collect interests from our war chest or collect dividends from our stocks holding.
Flat market: Collect dividends from our stocks holding AND collect interests from our war chest.
Falling market: Buy slowly, reduce our war chest, reduce interests but increase dividends.
Rising market: Sell slowly, increase our war chest, increase interests but reduce dividends.
How fearful can it be?
Idiot.
ReplyDeleteThat was supposed to be my "part 2"...
Oh well!
Eh? Somebody now talk big big after being massacred in 08/09 ;)
I guess what didn't kill us will make us stronger?
Now that's learning from real people real experiences! LOL!
Now some "bei kambings" have wised up.
If one does not have the "buffer" of past realized profits and dividends received, cannot follow your entries without a significant better entry price than yours ;)
You got a lot more bullets!
No "bei kambings"
DeleteMust be seasoned retail investors or "EX-choa ta/hei kambings" with adequate stocks holding for sell slowly and strong war chest to buy slowly.
Why need to be so scary?
CW,
DeleteThat's why I said you don't need "precision" to re-enter DBS - $15 or $16 does it matter when you have previously sold above $20?
But for someone sitting on unrealized losses in DBS, buy slowly may not work if the prices continue southwards.
New unrealized losses compounding on to existing mushrooming unrealized losses, now that's like a big snowball growing bigger and bigger until we capitulate under its weight.
And the moment we do so, the market makes a strong mean revision recovery...
That's enough to make someone swore off equities forever!
Must say the same for Keppel. So much blood spill. *curse*
DeleteThere's three critical time points here - first bought time point and price, sell (slowly) prices and current buy (slowly) prices.
DeleteIt might also end up as a zero sum or negative sum game.
temperament,
ReplyDeleteInterestingly, most veterans who have survived more than 1 or 2 bull/bear cycles are sama sama.
That's why I wrote this post to remind myself:
Don't fire until you see the whites of their eyes
Timing still counts unless u r super good in identifying value stocks like WB, who most people think that they r.
ReplyDeleteI agree with SMOL that those stocks already suffered hugh u realised losses, if u keep averaging down, then it can be capitulating eventually if they revert to the mean....
So it's better to be selective in stocks. Some see white then fire all, some fire small regularly