Someone asked me these questions:
1) You kept mentioning about
"In investing, ACCOUNT SIZE really MATTERS!"
What's consider a sizeable account size?
$500k and above?
2) Quote,
"It took me 23 years to ACCUMULATE SIZE-ABLE capital to have Real impact on net worth,
Another 16 years of real SOAKING myself in the world of financial news over day and nights."
That means you conceive the plan to get rich at age 20?
But why wait for 16 years later? Aren't there bulls and bears in between?
Excessive fears and greeds that hinder your plan towards earlier success.
Uncle8888's post edited version of this reply:
Our account size? How much is enough?
Our
final objective or goal in long term investing is to have enough cash
flow from our financial assets to replace the loss of earned income from
our human asset when we retire or choose to retire earlier than Singapore official retirement age at 62/65When we are still growing our portfolio we should try to focus more on growth dividend stocks.
We will need to slowly
liquidate 30% to 40% of our portfolio as war chest and we can be waiting
for years. We will need some growth in our portfolio to offset future
inflationary impact to our cash flow.
Our cash flow must also be able to
grow higher with the injection of war chest during bear market. Our
injection must win more than losses; otherwise we are doom.
(3)
After leaving that amount as war chest, is the remaining size of our
portfolio still be able to generate our desired level of cash flow at 5% to
6% return?
On question for
"It took me 23 years to ACCUMULATE SIZE-ABLE capital to have Real impact on net worth",
When
I got very serious to invest in the stock market to get out of rat race after reading Rich
Dad. Poor Dad. At that time, I strongly believe it is possible to
achieve as I have already accumulated sizable account size from past 23
years of cash saving and CPF investment account to slowly deploy my investing capital
till when Sep 11 WTC attack happened. I still have nice war chest to deploy in the stock market.
If then my account size was not large enough, I
could have already used up most of my investing capital before WTC event. I would
not have enough investing capital or war chest to buy Keppel corp, SIA, SIA Eng, ST Eng, etc.
May be I was lucky to meet such market opportunity; but most important is that I still have nice war chest to buy
during that crisis.
But, "unfortunately" or most likely it is my stupidity in 2007/early 2008 and caused me me to be too low in my war chest in early 2009. By Mar 2009, my balls has shrunk too much and became too fearful to
take advantage of that market crisis. The fear of STI at 1,200 became too real!
This I shall not repeat it in the next bear.
On question for ..
That means you conceive the plan to get rich at age 20?
But why wait for 16 years later? Aren't there bulls and bears in between?
Excessive fears and greeds that hinder your plan towards earlier success.
In fact, my wife forbid me in investing stocks. Stock market is highly dangerous place to make money? Right?
The relationship of account size and risk tolerance is inversely related. As my account size grows bigger, my risk tolerance gets lower. Care to offer a reason why I behave this way?
ReplyDeleteI think this is normal retail investors' behavior.
DeleteMy balls also shrunk smaller after Nov 2008. We may have to remember 3Ms in investing - Method, Mind and Money Management.
With larger account size; it may be easier with our Money Management. We can choose to liquidate part of our portfolio holding as war chest. A larger war chest may have better chance of hitting our next few higher growth dividends stocks or higher yield on cost blue chips as market continues to slide further. At same time, our remaining Portfolio may still be able generate our desired but at reduced dividend income while we are waiting. There is no free lunch. We have to decide that trade off point when we begin to feel feel our balls start shrinking.
Surplus cash as part of our portfolio management will definitely help to ease our portfolio volatility.
Cash is rotting or Cash is King? Let the hindsight tells us!
CW
ReplyDeletecan tell me what was the rough PE of Keppel corp, SIA, SIA Eng, ST Eng during GFC?
was it very bad? because many companies making losses
so during crisis we just buy the blue chips ?
I don't actually use PE.
DeleteActually, my blue chips made me money and then I lost part of winning money back to other chips
:-(
during big bear time, it will be hard to push the buy button
ReplyDeleteeg now Noble, a blue chip, has fallen quite a lot about 65%(1.48 to 0.90) and it was making $240 million loss in last quarter Q4
so will u close both eyes and buy?
Nobel PE (Adjusted)
DeleteYR.....08.......09.......10.......11........12.......13........14
PE....7.6......7.2......7.9......11.7....11.3.....22.6.....44.7
The company bottom line is deteriorated despite the top line improves.
Is the current cheap now?
I don't think so.
Thanks ray
ReplyDeleteThink it's not a good buy even though price has fallen a lot!
Read CW Return of King... :)
Deletehttp://createwealth8888.blogspot.sg/search?q=return+of+king