Thursday, 26 June 2014
The 400% Man
Good case study.
Less Analyzing. More Investing - Createwealth8888
Read? The 400% Man
Rule-Breaker's Rules Money pros who know him say none of Allan Mecham's investing tactics are astonishingly difficult -- but for various reasons, most investors don't use them. Ignore the economy . Where is the economy going next quarter? Where is the S&P headed? Mecham says he ignores those issues; instead, he looks for stable, defensive businesses that can thrive whenever bad times come.
Don't diversify . Most mutual funds own dozens or even hundreds of stocks (regulations usually require them to own at least 15). But to outperform with a big portfolio, a manager has to outsmart the market simultaneously on a raft of securities. Smaller funds and private-investment funds, which are not under the same requirements, can rely on just six or eight stocks.
Don't sweat the spreadsheets . Many Wall Street analysts build elaborate financial analyses to calculate a company's earnings growth and other patterns. But some say it's more productive to use that time trying to understand a company and its industry -- the management, the competition, the customers and so on.
Think decades, not quarters . Shareholders and managers tend to focus on companies' announcements of quarterly or annual earnings, and whether they beat or miss analysts' estimates. But some managers -- including one Warren Buffett -- say it's more useful to try to figure out where a company will be in a decade or more.
Don't just do something. Stand there! One of the toughest things for investors to do is to sit still and do nothing -- especially when nervous clients demand that they respond to short-term fluctuations in the market. But most of the time, say a few contrarians, inactivity is the right longer-term move. It's about "keeping emotions from corroding the decision process," says Mecham.
Methods work. Mind doesn't - Createwealth8888
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Newbies keep asking about Method.
ReplyDeleteFewer will know that Mind and Money Management matters more than Method. Your long-term investing success will depend on Mind and Money.
Ask how can you add more investing capital but make 100% sure that your emergency fund is well taken care of. You and your family are reasonably covered by insurance.
Make very sure that you don't need to liquidate some of your portfolio to cover future expenses in the next 5 - 7 years.
7 years is what I would recommend as it could reasonably cover a full bull-bear-bull market cycle.
You JUST need to survive the market cycle without having to force sell your assets during market low to support expenses. You will have good chance to recover.