Your Valentine's Roses



Don't worry! It won't burnt a hole in your pocket. We will help you with your Valentine's Roses at your budget and still wow her heart!


Welcome to Ministry of Wealth and Gifts for your loved ones!

This blog is authored by an old multi-bagger blue chips stock picker uncle from HDB heartland!

"The market is not your mother. It consists of tough men and women who look for ways to take money away from you instead of pouring milk into your mouth." - Dr. Alexander Elder

"For the things we have to learn before we can do them, we learn by doing them." - Aristotle

It is here where I share with you how I did it! FREE Education in stock market wisdom.

Think Investing as Tug of War - Read more? Click and scroll down


Get your Hampers, Hand Bouquets, Baby Showers here!


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When you have made more and more money from the stock market, please remember to send beautiful gifts to your beloved ones.


Important Notice and Attention: If you are looking for such ideas; here is the wrong blog to visit.

Value Investing
Dividend/Income Investing
Technical Analysis and Charting
Stock Tips

Sunday, 28 February 2010

Daring to dream big - Sometime we may need a pinch or two

http://bullythebear.blogspot.com/2010/02/daring-to-dream-big.html

The two biggest wild cards that will threaten our dream saving plan. It is unwise to under-estimate future expenses and over-estimate future saving power.

Parents Care

http://createwealth8888.blogspot.com/2009/08/parents-can-be-asset-or-liability-to.html

If parents don't have enough retirement fund or financial resources to see themselves through, they will sooner or later become a liability that may throw your dream saving plan and early retirement plan out of the window.

My late father-in-law spent his last 18 months in a government subsidized nursing home at monthly cost of $2,300 (just the cost of nursing home and exclude other medical, ambulance transportation and hospitalization expenses). Luckily, there were three sons to share the costs.

Kids Care And Expenses

Once they were born, their expenses will run like a 25-year Bull market with no major corrections and hitting bull peak when they enter University and spent like adults.


Dare To Dream Bigger


Don't just dream big. If you really must dream, dare to dream even bigger! Double your estimation of expenses and half your saving power. May your Bigger Dream come true!





Genting - Stampede for Exit!



Surprisely there was no selldown on Monday after wider full year losses. May be BBs were smarter to hold back selling and then dumped towards end of the week to suck in the less informed?

Stamped for Exit?


I punted Genting for only 1 Round on 14/3/07
B $0.78 S $0.83 ROC 5.7%, 13 days

May be hands are getting itchy after seeing Humpty Dumpty Falling Again

Dangers of High Debts and Low Margin

Beware of dangers of high debts and low margin - the Deadly Duo?

Marry The Guy Who Has 60% Sales Commission.

One day, I came to the Deadly Duo Road; which is well known that many people have been killed while trying to cross the deadly road. The death toll was worse during extreme bad weathers, many more were killed without knowing why?


While I was thinking how could I ever cross the road safely; then I saw a young man dash across the deadly road and followed by two old men crossing over it carefully.

I stopped the two old men and asked how long have they been crossing the deadly road?
The old men replied at the same time: "Since I was a young man."
The Deadly Dou Road is so famous for killing many who dare to try to cross it; and yet these two old men have been crossing it so many times and are still living well.
They must have master the Dark Art Of Crossing and I trust that they should be able cross it for a few more years.


Do you know who are the two old men crossing the Deadly Duo Road?

Saturday, 27 February 2010

Low Net Profit Margin - Avoid Them? - Part 3

Low Net Profit Margin - Avoid Them? - Part 2


Most of the stalls in hawker centers sell fried fishcake at $1 per piece, but this stall at ChinaTown Hawker Center 2nd floor near the center's public toilet is selling fried fishcake at $0.50 per piece. Minimum order is 2 pieces.

I am pretty sure the margin per piece has been squeezed but they make it back by selling more. Last Friday, while I was there I bought 20 pieces.

Value for money and good taste. Uncle8888's Recommended one! $1 for 2. Shiok leh!

They have two stalls side by side. If you are only buying fishcakes, you don't join the long queue for yong tau foo; but go to the stall on the left.

Olam Weekly


Likely to be moving in sideway?

Sunny Verghese is relentlessly practical, and that is what has driven Olam's success

Olam is first S'pore firm to make leadership list

THERE'S no better way to describe Sunny Verghese, Mr Olam, than business-like. Not in the turgid, management-speak spewing way - he says 'going forward' just twice in the entire, 100-minute and 9,364 word-long interview, for instance. But because Olam's founder - who is also group managing director and chief executive officer - is frank, to the point, knows his many numbers (and locations - Olam is in 60 countries and a bewildering array of markets) and is relentlessly practical. Everything he says is as organised as a Powerpoint slide - to the point and in numbered order. There are three ways to participate in this business, he says and there are also three ingredients to scale and replicate this business; and we are not positional, directional, proprietary commodity traders, each adjective flying on like bullet points and screeching to a halt in the frontal cortex of his interlocutor.

To analysts, bankers and reporters he's known for his extremely detailed presentations at quarterly results briefings; one wit calls them 'state of the nation' addresses because they touch on every relevant thing. That level of engagement has won him a number of followers among the analyst community, who praise the company for the depths (and lengths) of its disclosures.

Which is needed, because Olam's business is easily characterised but not always as well understood. It's the market-leading supply chain manager for 20 products - cocoa, coffee, cashew, sesame, rice, cotton, wood and many others - is present in 60 countries and supplies to over 10,000 customers. It does the unseen work of sourcing all these products from the farm gate, then shipping them to factories to be turned into chocolates and sweets and confectionaries and thousands of other things by the people with the brands we see on the wrappers. It's likely we eat Olam every day from breakfast to supper, and never realise it.

What the company is not, Mr Verghese is always quick to say, is a positional, directional, proprietary commodity trader. That means Olam doesn't take bets on which way prices of its products will go. It doesn't reward its traders for making bets, especially using borrowed money, but only for risk-adjusted returns. It has high debt, but almost everything it sells is secured, sold forward or otherwise hedged, and it makes money from an accretion of small margins. It's like picking up pennies, except the steamroller isn't coming.

Which is why the company responded vigorously in March 2008 when investment house Merrill Lynch issued a report urging investors to sell the stock. 'Olam has become dependent on leverage for growth which, in our view, is not sustainable,' its analysts said then. When the word got out, Olam stock crashed 14 per cent in one day.

'The biggest lesson that I've learned in the last 20 years is you must first differentiate your business before you try and scale it. If you don't, you will always struggle for profitability. We said, let's go and buy from the lowest level of aggregation possible. If our competitors are sitting in the port city, we buy at the farm gate.'

Mr Verghese remembers the episode well. 'The concern at that time was that we were overgeared. But we were stress-tested during this crisis. No bank pulled any line from us.'

Why didn't they, when all banks were frantically trying to shrink loan books to square their drastically reduced balance sheets? Here the bullet points come again. 'Because we were not positional, proprietary, directional traders, the quality of assets we had met their criteria,' he says.

Olam's physical agricultural inventory is as close to cash as you can get. Four reasons: it's easily sold, it's not perishable - most can be easily stored for half a century - it can never be obsolete, and it's almost all hedged and sold forward. 'We had US$1.7 billion in inventory in June 2009, US$1.6 billion met all those four conditions. I could convert that into cash in a week's time. Most people don't understand it but the banks do, very well.'

The markets were reassured and Olam has bounced well since; though its share price was badly hurt in the crisis, at one point dipping below the dollar mark, the company stayed remarkably profitable - in February, it announced its highest ever profits for the October to December quarter and for the first time declared an interim dividend, of two cents a share. Since June, the company has raised in total close to US$2 billion in equity and long term debt on what some say are remarkably favourable terms.

This successful business model is the legacy of an opportunity that burst open 20 years ago, in Nigeria in 1989. At the time, the young Mr Verghese was managing India's Kewalram Chanrai Group's textile milling operations in the country. He wanted to leave to start his own business back in his native India (he is now a British citizen and a Singapore PR) but the group chairman offered to sponsor his startup, if only he would stay in the group. The only question was, what would he do?

At the time the agricultural industry in Nigeria was going through a big shakeup. The government-owned commodity boards, which had a monopoly on the sourcing and export of agricultural products, had been deregulated and small indigenous merchants had swarmed in to take their place. But when it came time to deliver on their contracts to the big foreign buyers, if the commodity price winds went against them the only risk management that the little firms knew was to default. Mr Verghese, with his experience setting up Kewalram Chanrai's textile milling business in Nigeria, had the expertise to do better. 'We sensed a big opportunity to set up a reliable supply chain infrastructure right in the producing regions.'

To have any hope of success Olam had to prove itself a reliable deliverer of products to its customers, blow how the price winds would. Starting with just Mr Verghese and US$100,000 in capital, it cracked the Nigeria to India cashew nuts export market in two years, acquiring a 47 per cent share of the trade. But there wasn't much room to grow. A commodity business, by definition, sells the same thing as its competitors. 'The biggest lesson that I've learned in the last 20 years is you must first differentiate your business before you try and scale it. If you don't, you will always struggle for profitability,' Mr Verghese says.

The Olam DNA

So how do you differentiate a commodity business, an oxymoron if there ever was one? 'We said, let's go and buy from the lowest level of aggregation possible. If our competitors are sitting in the port city, we buy at the farm gate,' he says. The trick was to go deeper, farther into the bush where the squeamish dared not. 'The farm gate and the port city can be a thousand kilometres apart. Most of our competitors say this is too difficult. But two-thirds of the profit pool is from the farm gate to the port city,' he said.

But larger profits generally entail bigger risks. What happens when the company invests in a long, thick supply chain all the way to the farm gate? Farm products are seasonal so fixed costs sit idle many months of the year.

The solution was to start hopping to what Mr Verghese calls 'adjacent' products - from cashews, to peanuts; from peanuts, to shea nuts, to cocoa. 'We looked at the cropping calendar,' he says. 'What else could we buy, using the same warehouses and the same people? We can amortise that fixed cost of setting up such an infrastructure across larger volumes. And we build a differentiation and an advantageous cost position.'

Scaling its now differentiated business model has been its strategy for the best part of the past twenty years. That has informed the way the company has grown and the way it develops its people. New staff are handed a field operating system, a bible which tells them how Olam buys, what documents it needs, and takes them through the entire flow chart of what then happens, how to control the risk, and how to shift its products seamlessly from point to point.

But it isn't a mechanical process. Working in strange geographies demands a peculiar breed of worker to handle the challenge - savvy and decisive, yet equipped with the latest business and accounting expertise. Mr Verghese has spent the last twenty years developing a way to get the right people and the system works - last year Olam was placed among the top 25 Global Top Companies for Leaders list created by human resource consultancy firm Hewitt Associates to mark companies with the best commitment to developing talented people and building a pipeline of leaders. It was the first - and only - Singapore company on the list, right up there with the likes of IBM, P&G, General Mills, and McKinsey, and Mr Verghese is rightfully proud of the accolade.

He describes what he calls the Olam rite of passage, which everyone from senior management down has gone through, and it starts from the ground up, with a harsh initiation into the realities of working for a company like Olam in the countries it operates in.

'First they will all go out and live and work in tough geographies for three to four years, so that they understand the risks from the ground up. Without exception. I lived and worked in a village, as have all my senior leadership team,' says Mr Verghese. But more important than process is getting the right person in the first place. He is blunt when he talks about his hiring philosophy - more precisely, the type of people he would never hire.

'The most important thing is selecting for fit,' he says. Olam isn't a place for those who want a terrific quality of life, with golfing and thirty-hour work weeks. 'If you're looking for work as a way to get a great quality of life, we're not the company for you, don't join us.'

Instead, the people Olam wants are those who enjoy long periods away from the comfortable parts of the world, people who in centuries past might have been missionaries, colonists, prospectors or South Sea traders. 'If you're not willing to live and work in Macassar in Indonesia or Medan or Ouagadougou in Burkina Faso or Wakore in Nigeria - you want to live in New York, London and Singapore, we're not the company for you.'

The right plan, the right people

Mr Verghese admits that maybe just five in one hundred people they interview fit the bill, but those are the kind of people that stay and build long, successful careers at the company. Olam has now built a core 'Global Assignee Talent Pool', with 430 leaders carrying 'the Olam DNA', and with intimate understanding of the business model, the operating and risk systems and its values and way of life.

And with the right business plan and the right people, Olam is now embarking on a third leg of its strategy. 'We were an asset light company, now we're moving selectively upstream into plantations, products-wise and geographically.'

Olam's model is to go where the profits are. Its global supply chain network - and the proprietary market knowledge it is able to glean from it - lets it squirrel out arbitrage opportunities in worldwide supply chains. Since its strategy was launched it has gone into almond farms in Australia, tomato processing in the United States, coffee plantations in Laos, and peanut farming in Argentina. It most recently spent US$108 million buying a wheat miller in Nigeria, and is investing US$31.5 million to set up a greenfield wheat mill in Ghana.

'In the almond example (in Australia), we found that in the supply chain place where we started out business, only 10 to 15 per cent of the profits was there, whereas 55 to 60 per cent of the profits was appropriated by the plantation owner,' Mr Verghese says. 'The world's biggest almond producers couldn't see these arbitrages. We can see the global supply chain arbitrage opportunities, and we can then select where we want to be.'

The interview ends as it begins - with a reminder that Olam is relentlessly practical at negotiating some of the absurdities of modern corporate life. One is the sensitive subject of corporate social responsibility. Mr Verghese isn't afraid to take a gimlet eye to the subject, even though Olam is in many poor countries where the aid and charity industry is vociferously active.

Says Mr Verghese: 'We used to build rural schools, tube wells and paved roads, but to be honest, the larger motivation at that time was to inventorise all the good deeds we did and put it in an annual report and score public relations brownie points.'

He soon realised that was more than a little silly. Olam had no expertise in building roads, schools or tube wells. So the company changed tack. 'We should always be able to make a business case for our social work,' he says.

What the company was good at, was at improving productivity. 'So we run multiple such programmes. We run one in Nigeria along with USAID (humanitarian organisation United States Agency for International Development), where we've got 7,000 to 8,000 farmers enrolled today. They've trebled their rice yields. We have a 22,000 farmer programme in Sulawesi, where we help them to produce quality cocoa. We've increased their incomes by 47 per cent.'

By upgrading farmer productivity and providing micro finance, 'we create tremendous goodwill from our supplier base and therefore they want to supply their products to us, so we increase our volumes and our business, it's a win-win situation,' Mr Verghese says.

Then there's a second, perhaps more philosophical motive. 'I have no right to use shareholders' money for causes that I want,' Mr Verghese says. Some want to fund religious causes, others developmental aid or cancer research or old age homes - what right has the CEO to choose? 'We strongly believe that we cannot usurp the right of the shareholder in deciding which causes are dear to them.'

Very sensible, very rational. Which is what Olam has always been about.

Feeling Rich?

"The pursuit of Happiness" by David G. Myers

"... two ways to be rich: One is to have great wealth. The other is to have few wants."


Great Wealth
 
You have plenty of money to satisfy many wants. But, it is never easy to find great wealth.
 
Fewer Wants
 
Isn't this good news. You can feel rich by having fewer wants and live within your means.
 
 
Want and Need
 
You may need to drink a cup of coffee in the morning to fresh up.
 
 $70 - $1.30

or want to drink the world's most expensive coffee.
                            $25
 

Called Kopi Luwak, it's an Indonesian coffee made from the faeces of a Luwak, a small cat-like creature native to the island nation's coffee-growing regions.



 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
See the difference between need and want? LOL

Passive Income From REIT? - Part 2

Passive Income From REIT?

How can REIT share be evaluated?

REIT share valuation is based on a number of relatively transparent factors:

Net Asset Value Calculation

REITs as well as REIT analysts perform regular (annual, and often quarterly) valuations of their company property holdings.

The value of a REIT’s total assets, minus liabilities, divided by the number of its shares outstanding results in what is called the Net Asset Value (NAV) per share of the company.

Thus, the value of a REIT’s shares is to a significant degree based on the value of its tangible real estate holdings.

Property Portfolio Enhancements

The value of a REIT’s property portfolio can frequently be either maintained or enhanced through consistent capital expenditures. This is significant because strategic property portfolio enhancements help to maintain or
increase NAVs and provide the basis for price appreciation of a REIT’s shares.

Why some REITs have low or zero gearing?

Either they are still in their infancy stage of growth or has slow down their growth or has reduced their debts exposure by disposing assets or raise equities.

Gearing

Leverages are double-edge sword - can boomz and can also doomz so there is no clear cut right or wrong.

Passive Income From REIT?

Heard some active discussions on REIT at Bullythebear's cbox and my mouth also becomes itchy and need to :cookie:

From Wikipedia

What is REIT? 

A Real Estate Investment Trust or REIT is a tax designation for a corporation investing in real estate that reduces or eliminates corporate income taxes.

In Singapore, it is commonly referred to as S-REITs. There are currently 20 REITs listed on the SGX, starting with CapitaMall Trust [6] in July 2002. They represent a range of property sectors including retail, office, industrial, hospitality and residential. S-REITs hold a variety of properties in countries including Japan, China, Indonesia and Hong Kong, in addition to local properties.[citation needed]

S-REITs are regulated as Collective Investment Schemes under the Monetary Authority of Singapore's Code on Collective Investment Schemes or alternatively as Business Trusts.

S-REITs benefit from tax advantaged status
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Is using high dividend yield REIT as passive income sounds very good?

Do you hate borrowing, right issues or private placement?

If yes, then avoid REIT, it is not for you. Why?

REIT simply distributes all or almost all of its profits and gets to skip the taxation and seldom attempts to pay off its debts and depends on borrowing, refinancing and even raise funds to survive.

How does REIT survive in bad times?

It depends on its ability to refinance or raise fund from the capital market. Ability to raise fund that counts.

How does REIT grow?

Since REIT already pays out most of its earning as dividends; it is very hard to grow from retained earning or internal funding.

It has to borrow or raise funds from the capital market to grow.

Is Low Gearing REIT safer?

Not really sure leh?

Less borrowing or low gearing just means that the REIT has currently slowed down its growth potential and become more concerns over survival. It doesn't necessary means that it is safer than a higher gearing REIT.

It is the ability to refinance short-term maturing debts or raise funds from the capital market that determines its level of safety in the market.

Lower debts don't mean that creditors are not going after their blood if things get nasty.
 
When the REIT has less confidence in its ability to refinance short-term maturing debts or raise funds; it is more likely to reduce its gearing to increase its chance for survival.

All investments by nature are risky and just don't get too excited over its high dividend yield and become over-exposed to this sector.

Noble - Can say bye bye to its super performance in 2009?

Noble is more likely to be in consolidating mode for a long time ..... and don't expect it to be a super performer in 2010.

Beware of March? Will It Correct To The Lowest?


The lowest STI closing of 2008 Greater Bear happened on 9 Mar 09 @ 1457.
Are you thinking of taking profit or cutting losses and hopefully to buy back cheaper?

Do you believe Market has memory and always come back to haunt us?


Friday, 26 February 2010

Genting's collapse livens up dull session


Genting has a great fall!

$0.81 support must not break as it was where the game started.
Have the smart money done with their dumping?

SCI - Looking good?

STI - No damage done in Feb 10. Welcome Mar 10

Harder For Investors To Be Open Minded

I realize that whose with "investor-mindset" may find it harder to be open minded when investing and they intend fall in love with  fewer stocks instead of diversifying into sectors rotation. They just love too much of the same stuff.

Can you really re-invest all your dividends into the same stocks all over again and again without impacting subsequent returns? Think about it!

DOW not too bad. No triple digits lossess. Closing 10,321.03 -53.13 -0.51%


Soon Feb 10 will be over!

Thursday, 25 February 2010

Maybank offers guaranteed structured deposit

CreateWeath8888:

You can benchmark your DIY portfolio. Are you able to generate much more than 10% return in 3 years? otherwise you may be better off in buying this guaranteed structured deposit.

 ----------------------------------------------
MAYBANK Singapore has launched a guaranteed structured deposit linked to the performance of an underlying basket of Singapore blue chips.
It said customers will receive one per cent fixed payout every year for the three years, and their principal back at maturity with the principal guarantee feature.

The five blue-chip companies are CapitaLand, DBS Group Holdings, Keppel Corporation, Singapore Press Holdings and Singapore Telecommunications. Depending on the average performance of these stocks, the potential maturity payout can be up to 10 per cent, including the yearly one per cent fixed payout.

The minimum investment sum is $10,000, and the product will be sold from today until March 30.
Helen Neo, Maybank Singapore's head of consumer banking, said interest rates are expected to remain around current levels and with signs pointing to an economic recovery in Singapore, it is timely to introduce this product.

'The three-year tenure is also shorter than most structured deposit tenures, which means that customers can exercise greater flexibility when reinvesting their funds,' she said.
Rival DBS has a 4 years 11 months structured deposit which pays a fixed 7.38 per cent linked to 3 blue chips: Keppel Corp, Singapore Exchange and Singapore Airlines.

Called the POSB Invest Equity Series 1, it pays 1.38 per cent each year for the first four years and 1.86 per cent in its fifth year.

It offers a bonus payout of 2.5 per cent when the return of each of the shares is 20 per cent or higher in year 5.

Work is play and play is work?

Sometimes we hear this - Work is play and play is work?

Really ah?

The day when doctor brings bad news that he only have three months left to live, will he still rush back to office to continue to work or will he regret working long hours and putting off things that he wanted to do?

Keppel strengthens waste-to-energy market leadership in China

Environmental engineering unit announces third technology contract since start of year


Keppel Seghers Belgium N.V. (Keppel Seghers), an indirectly wholly-owned subsidiary of Keppel Integrated Engineering Limited (KIE), has secured an €6.5 million (approximately S$12.5 million) contract to provide technology and services to a waste-to-energy plant (WTE) in Guanzhuang, Tianjin, bringing the 2010 orderbook for WTE technology sales in China to approximately S$86.7 million.

Awarded by repeat customer,Tianjin TEDA Environment Protection Co., Ltd, the contract is the third technology package sale in China that KIE has announced this year.

The two technology package sales announced earlier this year were also for repeat customers. One was for the expansion of an existing WTE plant in Shenzhen, Guangdong, which when completed will be the largest in China, and the other was for a WTE plant in Chengdu.

My 2010 Passive Income From Stock Dividends

Finding Both Dividend & Growth Stock?

Can Blue Chips Be Dividend Yield Play Stocks?

1. Kep Corp (2001): 8.1% ROC. Full Year is likely to be 13.4% (exclude free KGT at 8.1% ROC)

2. Semb Corp (2002) : Full Year is likely to be 10.5%

3. DBS (2003) : Quarterly 1.8% ROC. Full Year is likely to be 7.2%

4. CIT -Cambridge (2008) : Quarterly 2.6% ROC. Full Year is likely to be 10.4%

5. Noble (2008) :  Full Year is around 5.5%

My plan is hold these five stocks for long term passive income.

SEMBCORP DELIVERS STRONG PROFIT GROWTH IN 2009

- 4Q2009 PATMI grows 157% to S$259.0 million
- FY2009 PATMI up 35% to S$682.7 million
 
Sembcorp Industries (Sembcorp) reported a 157% growth in profit after tax and minority interest (PATMI) for the fourth quarter of 2009 (4Q2009). In 4Q2009, Group PATMI was S$259.0 million compared to S$100.8 million in 4Q2008, while turnover was S$2.4 billion compared to S$2.7 billion in 4Q2008. For the full year ended December 31, 2009 (FY2009), Group PATMI grew 35% from S$507.1 million to S$682.7 million, while turnover stood at S$9.6 billion. Sembcorp’s return on equity was a healthy 23%, while cash and cash equivalents stood at a strong S$2.6 billion.

In FY2009, Marine’s contribution to Group PATMI grew 48% from S$290.6 million to S$430.2 million, while Utilities’ FY2009 PATMI increased 6% from S$200.3 million to S$211.3 million. Contributions from overseas operations now comprise 39% of Utilities’ PATMI, with earnings from Vietnam, China and the UAE growing 143% to S$38.8 million during the full year period.

Mr Tang Kin Fei, Group President & CEO of Sembcorp Industries, said: “In 2009, Sembcorp delivered strong profit growth despite the very difficult global economic environment. This good performance demonstrates the strength of our strategy and solid fundamentals of our businesses. During the year, we also took significant steps to position ourselves for the future, expanding our businesses into new markets and embarking on strategic initiatives that will give Sembcorp a solid competitive advantage over the long term. These include a US$1 billion independent water and power plant project in Oman and Marine’s new yard facility in Singapore.”

2009 Dividend

The Board of Directors is pleased to propose a final tax exempt one-tier dividend of 15.0 cents per ordinary share for 2009. If approved by shareholders, this will be paid on May 12, 2010.

Highlights from Sembcorp’s FY2009 Financial Results

• Turnover of S$9.6 billion, down 4%
• PATMI of S$682.7 million, up 35%
• ROE at 23.1%
• EVA at S$770.5 million
• Strong balance sheet and cash flow
 - Net cash
 - Operating cash flow (before changes in working capital) of S$1.4 billion
• Proposing final tax exempt one-tier dividend of 15.0 cents per ordinary share, up 36%

DOW closing 10374.16 91.75 +0.89%

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress on Wednesday that a weak job market and tame inflation warrant low interest rates for "an extended period," dampening speculation a policy tightening might be nearing.


In his first appearance before Congress following a testy confirmation vote in the Senate last month, Bernanke offered a relatively somber assessment of the U.S. economy despite recent signs of strong growth.

The country has lost 8.4 million jobs in a little more than two years in the most severe economic downturn since the Great Depression. The Fed chief said job losses were abating, but also acknowledged the recession's toll on American workers.

"Notwithstanding the positive signs, the job market remains quite weak," Bernanke told the House Financial Services Committee.

Bernanke said the U.S. central bank's policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee was prepared to support the economy with extraordinary stimulus for some time.

"The FOMC continues to anticipate that economic conditions—including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations—are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period," he said, echoing the Fed's most recent policy statement in late January.

Fed officials have suggested they would likely wait several months after removing the "extended period" phrase from their policy statement before proceeding to raise the benchmark overnight interbank interest rate.

Wednesday, 24 February 2010

Noble - Market Don't Have Major Concern At Its Result

Recovered from its lowest at $3.04

Bonus Shares - Good News?

What actually happen when company declares bonus shares?

When bonus shares are issued share capital also change as amount from retained earnings or reserves is utilized to issue bonus shares and it increase the share capital while decrease the reserves or retained earnings.

Good news to existing shareholders?

Let see what happen for 1 for 2 bonus share issue?

Fundamentally, there is no changes if you buy and hold.

It only becomes exciting if you want to trade.

The bonus issue makes it more exciting as now we win or lose by additional 50% for stock price movement due to more shares.

HYFLUX POSTS RECORD NET PROFIT OF S$75 MILLION

• Yet another record profit year
• Declares dividend of 5.0 Singapore cents per share, an increase of 46%
• Order book grows 20% to S$1.8 billion

Singapore, 24 February 2010 – Mainboard-listed Hyflux Ltd (“Hyflux” or “The Group”) today reported a 27% increase in profit attributable to shareholders of S$75.0 million for the 12 months ended 31 December 2009.

The net profit for FY2009 was a record for the Group and was achieved on the back of FY2009 group revenue of S$524.8 million.

In FY2008, Hyflux registered net profit of S$59.0 million and revenue of S$554.2 million, also a record year for the Group.

Commenting on the Group’s performance in the last financial year, Group CEO Ms Olivia Lum said: “Despite a very challenging year in the global economic front, Hyflux has turned in a good set of financial results. This is a statement on the strength of our business model which has given rise to continuous improvement in profitability, cash flows and financial flexibility.

“Our business model coupled with teamwork, financial discipline, cost management and strong project execution were instrumental in driving performance.”

In line with the record results, the Group is recommending a first and final dividend of 5.0

Singapore cents per ordinary share (FY2008: 3.43 Singapore cents per share), an increase of  approximately 46%.

Market Think. Not You Think. Boss Think. Not You Think.

In your employed job, you can think that you are doing a great job. You can also think that your other colleagues are bums at works and need to be sacked for lousy works. Does it really matter what you think?

What your boss think that matters. If your boss thinks that you are a bum and your colleagues are super, then you don't expect good bonuses.

Same as the market. Market think. Not you think.

DOW closed down 10,282.41 -100.97 -0.97%


Here it comes again?

Tuesday, 23 February 2010

Marry The Guy Who Has 60% Sales Commission.

One day, the daughter came running to her mum ...

Daughter: "Mum, I am not sure who should I marry?"
               
Daughter: "The Property agent guy or Insurance agent guy, and both guys are earning from Sales commission."

Mum: "What are their Sales commission rate like?"

Daughter: "Oh, the Property guy earns 1% while the Insurance guy earns 60%"

Mum: "Don't be silly, marry the guy with 60% sales commission"

Daughter: "Why?"

Mum: "Why you so stupid?"

     "The insurance guy's commission is 60 times the commission of the property guy"

     "60 is so much bigger than 1"

     "You don't know how to count meh?"

Daughter: "Hmm... but the property guy made 1% out of $1M property transaction while the insurance guy made 60% out of $5K premium"

Mum: "ooch"
-----------------------

Do you think like the Mother?

APL Intra-Asia Freight Rate Increase

Container shipping line APL announced plans for a general rate increase in the Intra Asia trade. The proposed increases will affect all trade from the Far East to India and Pakistan. The rises will be $100 per 20 ft container and $200 per 40-ft container and are effective 1 March 2010.


APL said operating conditions in the Intra-Asia trade remained highly challenging, with freight rates at unsustainably low levels. The rate increases are, therefore, essential for APL to sustain its comprehensive service offering in the trade and to ensure the high level of reliability that customers demand from the carrier.

Noble's FY09 net profit falls 4% to US$556m

SINGAPORE - Noble Group on Tuesday said net profit for 2009 fell 4 per cent to US$556 million, from US$577.3 million in 2008.

Revenues were 14 per cent down at US$31.2 billion, compared to US$36.1 billion in 2008.

Earnings per share correspondingly fell to 16.03 US cents, from 17.46 US cents.

The global supply chain manager of agricultural, metals, minerals and ores, and energy products handled 180.3 million metric tons, up 27 per cent from 2008 with a number of business divisions reporting record tonnage volumes.
---------------------------------------------------------------

Dividend declared

Subsequent to the statement of financial position date, the directors recommend the payment of a cash dividend of US3.6 cents per share and the payment of a scrip dividend in the form of bonus shares to be alloted to the shareholders of the Company on the basis of six new shares for every eleven then existing issued shares. The dividend proposals are subject to the shareholders’ approval at the forthcoming annual general and, in the case of scrip dividend, are also subject to the approval of the SGX-ST.

(Createwealth8888: 6 for 11 and that means 54.5% entitlement)

In addition, under the Company's Scrip Dividend Scheme, sharesholders entitled to this dividend may elect to receive either cash or an allotment of ordinary shares in the Company credited as fully paid in lieu of cash. The payment of the Scrip Dividend will be subject to the receipt of in-principle approval from the SGX-ST for the listing and quotation of the new shares which may be issued under the Scheme in connection with the final dividend.

SCI - It should be trading higher than SML?

Can we expect better final dividends?

SML - Panic buying by BBs?

Amazing recovery today. Gap of 17 cts or 17 bids is very unusual and coupled with huge volume traded up +7.6%

Real panic buying by BBs? Don't know what happened at result briefing?

HYFLUX AWARDED S$35.8 MILLION DESIGN AND CONSTRUCT CONTRACT FOR SINGAPORE’S LARGEST MEMBRANE BIOREACTOR (MBR) PLANT

• Plant to produce 68,000m3 water per day for industrial use

• Project to take 18 months to complete

Singapore, 23 February, 2010 – Mainboard-listed Hyflux Ltd’s (“Hyflux”) subsidiary, Hydrochem (S) Pte Ltd, has been awarded a S$35.8 million contract by PUB, Singapore’s national water agency to design, construct, test and commission a membrane bioreactor plant (“Plant”) with a designed capacity of 68,000m3 per day.

The Plant at the Jurong Water Reclamation Plant will be Singapore’s largest. It will also be the largest membrane bioreactor plant to be built by Hyflux.

Using biological processes and microfiltration membranes, used water from the industrialized Jurong catchment will be treated for use by industries located on Jurong Island.

Construction of the Plant is scheduled to commence 3 March 2010 and is expected to be completed within 18 months. In addition, Hyflux through its specialist subsidiary will provide maintenance services to the Plant for a period of 12 months upon project completion.

Commenting on the award of the project, Hyflux’s Group CEO Ms Olivia Lum said, “We are delighted to be awarded the contract to build Singapore’s largest membrane bioreactor plant. Our integrated design and engineering, procurement and construction capabilities have enabled us to put up a competitive bid in the open tender. We believe our solutions provide for efficiency and cost-effectiveness in the operation and maintenance of the plant.”

Dividend Stocks Can Pay Off For Recent Retirees

By: Jennifer Woods,

Having an allocation to dividend-yielding stocks can be a good move for most investors, but for those who are in or nearing retirement, it’s a must.

Christopher Davis, senior mutual fund analyst with Morningstar, says many newly-minted or soon-to-be retirees are primarily in fixed income investment, and, as a result, risk prematurely running out of money.

“A lot of times people associate retirement with fixed-income investing," says Davis. "They need to be safer since they’re living on that money and need the income which fixed income provides. If you are just starting retirement, you have potentially 20 or 30 more years of life left and you need to be able to continue to grow your nest egg and protect it against inflation.”

Dividend-paying stocks, he says, offer components essential to anyone in this demographic, including a solid income stream, growth potential (for offsetting inflation) and less-than-average volatility for a stock.

Dexter, president, chief investment and chief executive officer of RNC Genter Capital Management, says a substantial allocation to stocks is key and the lion’s share of should be in dividend paying stocks.

“It is necessary just to provide enough income,” he says, adding that bond yields are so low right now—ten-year Treasurys are yielding less than 4 percent—you need to make it up on the equity side, which means having that position in high dividend-yielding stocks.”

"They still feel that bonds are for income and stocks are for growth," explains Genter. "While that may have had some merit in the past when stocks were growing at 20-25 percent. In the current environment, many people would be happy having 10 percent total return and a 4-5 percent.

Tom Huber, manager of T. Rowe Price Dividend Growth Fund, says it’s important that a stock have a good current yield and the the opportunity for good dividend growth over time.

“I look for companies that may not be yielding 4-5 percent or even 6 percent, but have good dividend growth opportunities going forward,” says Huber.

Huber says consumer staples are a good example because the group “is a traditional area for healthy dividends and good dividend growth ... a lot has to do with the stability of those business and their ability to turn out healthy profits in good and bad environments."

One thing Huber cautions investors to be aware of when selecting companies for their dividend allocation is whether the company will be able to maintain the dividend.

“Often when you see a very high yield, you may want to question the sustainability of the dividend,” says Huber. “Take another step in addition to looking at the yield. Look under the covers."

Another Debate On Property Or Stocks Investing - Part 4

More Talking Point on property investing last night at Bullythebear's cbox ...

Another Debate On Property Or Stocks Investing - Part 3

Investing in stocks is like ...













Investing in property is like ...









"All investments by nature are risky; if not it will be called saving instead of investing." - CreateWealth8888

"People who make money often make mistakes, and even have major setbacks, but they believe they will eventually prosper, and they see every setback as a lesson to be applied in their move towards success." - Jerry Gillies

Can you afford the risks of losing a few chicken and not getting any eggs from the chicken? Most of us can reasonably take such risks without causing serious financial damages to our family if we fail badly. Most of us will also have little difficulty to start it all over again if we regain our confidence in investing.

But, how many of us can afford to take one huge risk of losing a cow and not getting enough milk? Do you have Bank PaPa or Bank Mama to bail you out should you fail badly? If not, you are going to labour many hours of hard works for free.

If you really love milking cows, hear what

said: "Do or do not. There is no try."
 
 
I love ...
 
 
 

 


Monday, 22 February 2010

Taiwan exits worst post-war recession

TAIPEI : Taiwan said Monday it had emerged from its worst post-war recession, as the export-dependent island saw a pick-up in demand from top buyer China and other key export markets in the region.


The island's economy expanded by 9.22 percent in the fourth quarter from the same period in 2008, but the economy shrank for the year as a whole, the Directorate General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics said.

"The growth was made possible by the pickup in China and the other emerging economies in the Asia region," said Shih Su-mei, the head of the directorate general.

The Taiwanese economy had not experienced positive growth since the second quarter of 2008, before it was engulfed by the global financial crisis.

"Not only does this mark a return to growth after five consecutive quarters of decline, it is also the highest quarterly growth since the third quarter of 2004," the directorate general said in a statement.

Also contributing to the fourth quarter figure was strong domestic demand as a result of a significant rise in the domestic stock market and a sharp decline in the number of employees on unpaid leave, Shih said.

Taiwan's stockmarket increased by nearly 80 percent in 2009, ending the year as one of the world's best performers.

However, the island's economy contracted 1.87 percent in 2009 year-on-year as the export-dependent island experienced its most protracted downturn in decades.

Consumer prices, the main indicator of inflation, declined 0.87 percent over the year, the directorate general said.

It forecast growth of 4.72 percent in 2010, up from a previous forecast of 4.39 percent.

SML: RECORD PERFORMANCE IN 2009

Sembcorp Marine delivered record performance in 2009 amid challenging operating environment that prevailed during the year.
Group attributable profit after tax increased by 63% to $700.1 million, the highest ever achieved.

Group turnover rose by 13% or $660.8 million to $5,724.7 million with the rig building sector registering an increase of 28% due to progressive recognition of rig building projects.

Group operating profit at $862.4 million was 72% higher than the corresponding period in 2008.

At pre-tax profit level, Group earnings increased 67% to $907.6 million from $545.0 million in 2008, attributable mainly to higher operating margins from rig building projects.

4Q 2009 vs 4Q 2008

On a quarterly basis, Group attributable profit after tax for 4Q 2009 at $297.2 million was the highest quarter ever recorded. This was 328% higher as compared with $69.4 million recorded in 4Q 2008.

Group turnover at $1,343.2 million for 4Q 2009 was 17% lower as compared with $1,617.5 million for the corresponding period in 2008. Turnover was higher in 4Q 2008 due to the variation order settlement for a turnkey conversion project Group operating profit at $387.0 million was 129% higher than 4Q 2008’s $168.8 million.

At pre-tax profit level, Group earnings increased 348% to $394.8 million in 4Q 2009 compared with $88.2 million in 4Q 2008. The record 4Q 2009 profit was attributable to combination of operational efficiency, execution of projects ahead of schedule, resulting in better margins and resumption of margin recognition for some of the projects.

Dividend

The Directors have recommended a total final cash one-tier tax-exempt dividend of 10.00 cents per share comprising a final ordinary dividend of 6.00 cents plus a special dividend of 4.00 cents per share in view of the exceptional results in respect of the financial year ended 31 December 2009.

Including the interim one-tier tax-exempt cash dividend of 5.00 cents per share paid  1st September 2009, the total dividend for FY 2009 will be 15.00 cents per share, an increase of 36% over the 11.00 cents per share in FY 2008.

The proposed final dividend, if approved at the Annual General Meeting to be held on 20 April 2010, will be paid on 10 May 2010.

Low Net Profit Margin - Avoid Them? - Part 2

Low Net Profit Margin - Avoid Them?

Bummy's comment


hum chim peng


Many years ago at the former Maxwell market, there was a hawker stall selling "hum chim peng" at 10 cents per piece (small version) while other stalls elsewhere were selling at 20 or 30 cents per piece (larger version).

It was quite obvious that the profit margin from selling "hum chim peng" at 10 cents per piece was much thinner.

Guess what happened to the customers' buying pattern of "hum chim peng" at this stall?

When the price of "hum chim peng" was only 10 cents per piece, customers didn't buy a few pieces; but they bought in units of 10, 15 and 20 pieces.

I usually bought 10 pieces and ate a few pieces myself and the rest passed around to colleagues as treat. May be psychologically I didn't want to be seen as cheapskate so I bought more.

If the "hum chim peng" was 30 cents per piece, I would just buy enough for myself.

This hawker was able to move massive volume of his product to make up for the razor thin margin. The only difference was that he got to work harder.

Home for Living and not for profit taking - Part 4

Read? Home for Living and not for profit taking - Part 3

"Don't sell your homes prematurely for a quick buck": PM Lee

Well said. It is timely that PM Lee reminded people that home is for living and not for profit taking. Get a second property for investment if you really love property as investment vehicle.

Some animal build up their home and live there till they die or forced to leave by circumstances not within their control.

Do you live in your dream home or you are just staying at a place waiting to sell your dream home and counting your dollars and then search for another a place to stay?

There is good reason why the standard method of counting a person's Net Worth is to exclude the value of the residential home and it is not treated as part of a person's wealth.

Sunday, 21 February 2010

It is better to take small steps to cool property market: Minister Mah

SINGAPORE: National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan on Sunday commented on the recent measures to curb speculation in the property market.

He said it is better to take small, preventive steps to cool the property market, than to solve the problem when the bubble really forms.

Mr Mah was speaking to reporters on the sidelines of a community event.

He said he is not against property prices rising, but when danger signs appear, preventive measures have to be taken.

Mr Mah said: "What we are seeing now - a confluence of factors (such as) low interest rates, positive sentiment, volumes actually picking up - I think those are the danger signals.

"So we have to make a judgment as to what is going to happen. It is a choice between not doing anything and just letting the exuberance take over and then having to act when everything is too late."
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
Createwealth8888:
 
Let see how market react to property counters on Monday?
 

Biosensor Weekly - No sign of weakness?

Another Debate On Property Or Stocks Investing - Part 3

Another Debate On Property Or Stocks Investing - Part 2

Do you love multi-baggers?

It is much harder to find multi-baggers in properties as the Government is always watching closely and likely to introduce cooling measures to clam down the property price from rising too fast.

Do you think Government will clamp down a fast rising stock? At most, SGX will issue a query to the company concerned and usually standard responses from the company is expected.

Art of Survival: Protecting one against Black Swan event - Part 2


Lake Monger is one of the opportunities closest to town to watch and photograph black swans. Take the train to Fremantle and exit at the second station from Perth, "West Leederville".

But, I didn't go to Lake Monger; but saw a few Black Swans at Perth Zoo.

Art of Survival

Not many people are aware or fully understood the risk of a Black Swan event happening in their life.

E.g.

One of my relatives who invested a significant portion of his saving into his company IPO. His father and mother also bought into this stock. He and his parents have never thought of Black Swan event happening.

What if a major crisis hits his company and threatens the survival of the company; its stock price will plunge. He may be retrenched and lose his job. The value of family portfolio will plunge due to over weight in this stock. The whole family may be financially hit by just one single event.

It is never so wise that whole family invest in the same stock for better risk management. For couple and family, try to overcome the attitude of "your money" and "my money" when come to investment, and think in terms of our risks.

My thinking is simple.  I am just an ordinary employee of the company. My job, bonus and pay are already tied to the fate of the company which I have no control over its survival so there is no further need to tie my investment to the fate of the company. I don't invest in my company shares.

But, the thinking will definitely be different if I am the business owner.

Another Debate On Property Or Stocks Investing - Part 2

Another Debate On Property Or Stocks Investing

Rules meant to avoid bubble


Govt considered other factors besides prices in acting to prevent bubble, says Grace Fu
By Jamie Ee Wen Wei
  • From yesterday, any property sold within a year of its purchase will attract stamp duty of around 3 per cent. This is on top of the stamp duty the prospective seller had earlier paid on the purchase.
  • Lending institutions will now be allowed to lend only up to 80% of the value of the property, instead of 90%.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Createwealth8888:

The latest rules announced by the government is another blow to low funded retail investors who are speculating or investing in properties. May be more will eventually come back to speculate in the stock market.

Warren Buffett's Worst Mistakes

by Eric Fontinelle
Monday, February 22, 2010

Warren Buffett is widely regarded as one of the most successful investors of all time. Yet, as Buffett is willing to admit, even the best investors make mistakes. Buffett's legendary annual letters to his Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-A) shareholders tell the tales of his biggest investing mistakes.

There is much to be learned from Buffett's decades of investing experience, so I have selected three of Buffett's biggest mistakes to analyze.

Conoco Phillips
Mistake: Buying at the wrong price

In 2008, Buffett bought a large stake in the stock of Conoco Phillips (COP) as a play on future energy prices. I think many might agree that an increase in oil prices is likely over the long term and that Conoco Phillips will likely benefit. However, this turned out to be a bad investment, because Buffett bought in at too high of a price, resulting in a multibillion-dollar loss to Berkshire. The difference between a great company and a great investment is the price at which you buy stock, and this time around Buffett was "dead wrong." Since crude oil prices were well over $100 a barrel at the time, oil company stocks were way up.

Lesson Learned

It's easy to get swept up in the excitement of big rallies and buy in at a prices that you should not have -- in retrospect. Investors who control their emotions can perform a more objective analysis. A more detached investor might have recognized that the price of crude oil has always exhibited tremendous volatility and that oil companies have long been subject to boom and bust cycles.

Buffett says: "When investing, pessimism is your friend, euphoria the enemy."

U.S. Air
Mistake: Confusing revenue growth with a successful business

Buffett bought preferred stock in U.S. Air (LCC) in 1989 -- no doubt attracted by the high revenue growth it had achieved up until that point. The investment quickly turned sour on Buffett, as U.S. Air did not achieve enough revenues to pay the dividends due on his stock. With luck on his side, Buffett was later able to unload his shares at a profit. Despite this good fortune, Buffett realizes that this investment return was guided by lady luck and the burst of optimism for the industry.

Lesson Learned

As Buffett points out in his 2007 letter to Berkshire shareholders, sometimes businesses look good in terms of revenue growth but require large capital investments all along the way to enable this growth. This is the case with airlines, which generally require additional aircraft to significantly expand revenues. The trouble with these capital-intensive business models is that by the time they achieve a large base of earnings, they are heavily laden with debt. This can leave little left for shareholders and makes the company highly vulnerable to bankruptcy if business declines.

Buffett says: "Investors have poured money into a bottomless pit, attracted by growth when they should have been repelled by it."

Dexter Shoes
Mistake: Investing in a company without a sustainable competitive advantage

In 1993, Buffett bought a shoe company called Dexter Shoes. Buffett's investment in Dexter Shoes turned into a disaster because he saw a durable competitive advantage in Dexter that quickly disappeared. According to Buffett, "What I had assessed as durable competitive advantage vanished within a few years." Buffett claims that this investment was the worst he has ever made, resulting in a loss to shareholders of $3.5 billion.

Lesson Learned

Companies can only earn high profits when they have some sort of a sustainable competitive advantage over other firms in their business area. Wal-Mart (WMT) has incredibly low prices. Honda (HMC) has high-quality vehicles. As long as these companies can deliver on these things better than anyone else, they can maintain high profit margins. If not, the high profits attract many competitors that will slowly eat away at the business and take all the profits for themselves.

Buffett says: "A truly great business must have an enduring "moat" that protects excellent returns on invested capital."

The Bottom Line

While making mistakes with money is always painful, paying a few "school fees" now and then doesn't have to be a total loss. If you analyze your mistakes and learn from them, you might very well make the money back next time. All investors, even Warren Buffett, must acknowledge that mistakes will be made along the way.

Saturday, 20 February 2010

Genting SP Weekly

As BT reported:

  • GENTING Singapore shares have been taking a beating, falling almost 30 per cent from its peak of about $1.30 per share a month ago to 94 cents on Friday.

  • Interestingly, Minister Mentor Lee Kuan Yew mentioned that the casino had 'earned' $3.5 million on the first day of operations and $3.7 million on the second day. And going by earlier analyst projections for annual gaming revenue, these figures are also on the low side.

  • conversion of $450 million worth of convertible bonds at 95 cents each to Genting shares last week.

  • Genting reported a net loss of $277.57 million for the year ended Dec 31, 2009 compared to a net loss of $124.8 million a year ago. Revenue for the period came to $491.22 million, down 22 per cent from $630.67 million a year ago.

  • pre-operating expenses at RWS of $103.4 million were incurred for recruitment, training, sales and marketing programmes.
How will BBs react on Monday?



Retire Early. Go Travelling And Likely To Be Happier After Vacations

How Vacations Affect Your Happiness?

How to be happy when there are tons of works waiting at office for you to slog even harder?

People who truly enjoy during and after vacations are those who don't need to slog at their office to catch up with their workloads: Back To Work After Your Vacations

Knowing Your Investment End Goal

One blogger mentioned: "Illusion of Winning" and "Fear of Black Swan". Yes, a black swan event can happen and take back all the past winning and even more." So we should really fear and prepare for it.

We all know our investing goals:


But do we know when to stop?

Since all non-capital guarantee investment by nature is risky; a black swan event can happen so do we need to set an investment end goal to stop and protect ourselves?

My Goal of the End Game

My goal of the End Game is to accumulate enough wealth for me and then I will stop putting my wealth at risk. I will stop the gambling and risk taking with active investing or any non-capital guarantee investments.I would finally have enough money and personal power to walk away from this investing game and spend the rest of my life doing something else!


When exactly do I know that I have reached the End Game?

When I have enough principal invested safely for my after tax-income to match or exceed your annual expenses on an ongoing basis. This would include over budgeting for the lifestyle that me and my wife truly need.

Budget Air Travel


I was quite surprise that taxes paid is more than the price of air ticket by 12.5% so the airline is really on budget or air travellers are over taxed?

DOW closing 4th UP days @ 10,402.35 +9.45 +0.09%

Solid DOW ending the week in an all positive trading days!
Did other markets over nervous?

Friday, 19 February 2010

Genting Singapore's full-year net loss widens to S$277m

SINGAPORE : Genting Singapore has widened its full-year net loss to S$277 million.


This was higher than the S$124 million loss incurred in 2008. The group's full-year revenue also fell 22 per cent to S$491 million mainly due to lower revenue from its UK casino operations.

Genting said revenue from the UK casino operations was hit by lower business volume and lower win percentage due to poor luck factor as compared to the previous year.

This was further exacerbated by the weakening of the Sterling Pound against the Singapore Dollar.

The group also incurred an increase in pre-operating expenses for its Singapore integrated resort.

That is mainly due to staff costs incurred as Resorts World Sentosa began to accelerate its recruitment, training, sales and marketing programmes prior to its launch.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



BBs who were better informed already cashed out? Who are holding the baby?

STI closing @ 2,757.14 -12.05 -0.44%. Not too bad?

STI down -6.% from the recent peak.


The intra day looked more like short covering to avoid holding over the weekends rather than
bargain hunting.
HSI closed 19,894.02 -528.13 -2.59% and DOW future was also down by double digits

What is Long-Term Investing?

Long-Term Investing is about Value Investing - It is about multi-baggers and collecting stock dividends as passive income.

Or you call it long-term investing after the stock price has fallen so much and too painful to cut losses.

Fed Raises Discount Rate by Quarter-Point to 0.75%

Feb. 18 (Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve Board raised the discount rate charged to banks for direct loans by a quarter point to 0.75 percent and said the move will encourage financial institutions to rely more on money markets rather than the central bank for short-term liquidity needs.


“These changes are intended as a further normalization of the Federal Reserve’s lending facilities,” the central bank said today in a statement. “The modifications are not expected to lead to tighter financial conditions for households and businesses and do not signal any change in the outlook for the economy or for monetary policy.”

The dollar jumped and Treasuries extended losses as the Fed took another step in a gradual retreat from its unprecedented actions to halt the deepest financial crisis since the Great Depression. The Fed has provided hundreds of billions of dollars in backstop credit to banks, bond dealers, commercial paper borrowers and troubled financial institutions such as American International Group Inc.

“This is an unwinding of another unusual and exigent circumstance,” said David Zervos, visiting adviser to the Fed Board in 2009 who is now a managing director at Jeffries & Co. in New York. “They tried to go out of their way to tell people this doesn’t change their policy outlook at all.”

The dollar rose 0.7 percent to $1.3514 per euro at 5:19 p.m. in New York from $1.3607 yesterday. It touched $1.3502, the strongest level since May. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose seven basis points to 3.8 percent.

Maturity Shortened

The discount rate increase is effective on Feb. 19. The Board also said that effective March 18 “the typical maximum maturity for primary credit loans will be shortened to overnight.”

The Fed Board said the outlook for policy remains “about as it was at the January meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee.” The central bank also cited last month’s statement, which said economic conditions are likely to warrant “exceptionally low” levels of the federal funds rate “for an extended period.”

It was the first increase in the discount rate in more than three years, and the move widens the rate’s spread over the top range for the benchmark federal funds rate to 0.5 percentage point.

Maximum Maturity

“The increase in the spread and reduction in maximum maturity will encourage depository institutions to rely on private funding markets for short-term credit and to use the Federal Reserve’s primary credit facility only as a backup source of funds,” the Fed Board said in a statement.

“The Federal Reserve will assess over time whether further increases in the spread are appropriate.”

Financial institutions’ reliance on Fed credit has waned as market liquidity improved. Discount window loans stood at $14.1 billion on Feb. 17, down from $65.1 billion about a year earlier.

Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke telegraphed the move in Feb. 10 testimony to Congress when he said investors should expect a “modest increase” in the rate “before long.” Using language similar to today’s statement, he said a move shouldn’t be interpreted as a change in policy.

The Fed’s lending programs and their May 2009 review of the capital needs of the 19 largest banks helped restore confidence and liquidity in interbank lending markets. The TED spread, the difference between what the Treasury and banks pay to borrow dollars for three months, has narrowed to 0.15 percentage point from as high as 4.64 percentage points in October 2008.

Emergency Facilities

The central bank closed four emergency lending facilities, including the Primary Dealer Credit Facility and Term Securities Lending Facility, on Feb. 1.

Primary dealer credit stood at $146.5 billion two weeks after the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in September 2008. The facility had a zero balance when the Fed closed it in February.

The Federal Open Market Committee left the benchmark overnight lending rate in a range of zero to 0.25 percent at their meeting Jan. 27. Minutes from the meeting said officials “agreed it would soon be appropriate” to reduce the term of discount window loans to overnight and widen the spread over the federal funds rate.

The minutes also said that the discount window change didn’t signal an immediate change in the benchmark lending rate.

Normal Footing

Fed officials “generally agreed that such steps to return the Federal Reserve’s liquidity provision to a normal footing would be technical adjustments.”

Prior to the financial crisis, the Fed kept the primary credit discount rate 1 percentage point above the target for the federal funds rate.

The Fed increased the term on the loans to 90 days during market turmoil in March 2008, and reduced it 28 days on Jan. 14 this year.

Discount rate changes are requested by boards of directors at the 12 regional Fed banks. The Fed Board said it approved requests for the rate increase from all 12 regional Fed banks. Discount rate change requests are subject to final review and determination by the Board of Governors in Washington. Fed governors review discount rate requests about every two weeks
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