As from April 2013 my Journey in Investing is to create Retirement Income for Life till 80 years old for two over market cycles of Bull and Bear.

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Welcome to Ministry of Wealth!

This blog is authored by an old multi-bagger blue chips stock picker uncle from HDB heartland!

"The market is not your mother. It consists of tough men and women who look for ways to take money away from you instead of pouring milk into your mouth." - Dr. Alexander Elder

"For the things we have to learn before we can do them, we learn by doing them." - Aristotle

It is here where I share with you how I did it! FREE Education in stock market wisdom.

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Value Investing
Dividend/Income Investing
Technical Analysis and Charting
Stock Tips

Thursday, 18 November 2010

Occam's Razor in TA and FA?

Occam's Razor: "one should not increase, beyond what is necessary, the number of entities required to explain anything."

The explanation requiring the fewest assumptions is most likely to be correct.” or "Simply put, the simpler one is generally correct."
 
Yeah. To apply Occam's Razor in my stock analysis:

  • By simplifying my TA, I just look at support, resistance, price-volume actions, and trend lines.

  • By simplifying my FA, I just look at consistency in dividends and low dividend payout ratio. Dividends are real money paying out by a company, and can only be sustainable if company continues to have cold hard cash from its business. Probably, this is the only indicator in FA that really matters; anything else are just guess works by retail investors who have limited resources to do anything substantial.
Read? Fundamental or Technical Analysis? - Revisit 3

Read? Pareto Principle

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