I started serious Investing Journey in Jan 2000 to create wealth through long-term investing and short-term trading; but as from April 2013 my Journey in Investing has changed to create Retirement Income for Life till 85 years old in 2041 for two persons over market cycles of Bull and Bear.

Since 2017 after retiring from full-time job as employee; I am moving towards Investing Nirvana - Freehold Investment Income for Life investing strategy where 100% of investment income from portfolio investment is cashed out to support household expenses i.e. not a single cent of re-investing!

It is 57% (2017 to Aug 2022) to the Land of Investing Nirvana - Freehold Income for Life!


Click to email CW8888 or Email ID : jacobng1@gmail.com



Welcome to Ministry of Wealth!

This blog is authored by an old multi-bagger blue chips stock picker uncle from HDB heartland!

"The market is not your mother. It consists of tough men and women who look for ways to take money away from you instead of pouring milk into your mouth." - Dr. Alexander Elder

"For the things we have to learn before we can do them, we learn by doing them." - Aristotle

It is here where I share with you how I did it! FREE Education in stock market wisdom.

Think Investing as Tug of War - Read more? Click and scroll down



Important Notice and Attention: If you are looking for such ideas; here is the wrong blog to visit.

Value Investing
Dividend/Income Investing
Technical Analysis and Charting
Stock Tips

Monday, 5 May 2014

Shelby Davis: An Unknown, Great Value Investor


In the pantheon of investing greats one of the least talked about, but most successful investors, is Shelby Davis.  Starting at age 38, he took $50,000, provided by his wife Kathyrn, and amassed it into a $900 million fortune in 47 years.  This amounts to an annual compounded rate of return of over 23% during that time span.   While his investing process can be summed up as growth-at-a-reasonable-price, he hardly wrote anything down as to not waste money on paper (he often wrote on the back of envelopes and scraps of paper which were tossed away).  His extreme frugality helped him to save every penny he could to invest in “compounding machines,” as he called them.  When he died he left his money in a charitable trust and left little to nothing for his two children; he was the epitome of a penny-pincher.

Read? Shelby Davis: An Unknown, Great Value Investor

Sunday, 4 May 2014

How to become rich in stocks??? (25)



Read? How to become rich in stocks??? (24)


The Magic of Compounding in the stock market?


How?

Many retail investors may think that the magic of compounding happened when they re-invest their collected dividends and/or their realised capital gains.

Right?





 
The Magic of Compounding can also be happening without us having to do any re-investing

Let the companies do the magic themselves while we keep our eyes closely on the news flow.


Why not?

Over 14 years ...


 
 
 
Over 13 years ...
 
 




















Over 12 years ...












How to control your emotions in investing??? (5)


Read? How to control your emotions in investing??? (4)

Source: Davis Advisers


Some wise words from Great Investors where you can learn to control your emotions

































Uncle8888 likes this one (5 stars) as he has so far made the most of his money in the earlier few bear markets but not really from the last one as he was too greedy NOT to prepare a large war chest for its coming.

This time he is fully ready for its coming!














Saturday, 3 May 2014

Book : Hmm .. A surprising find. Like that also can???


Uncle8888 was reading this investment book written by our local authors and then ...












"Proven" quality for promotion to investment coaches/trainers by just one stock pick and people are willing to pay $X,XXX to be trained by them.

Like that also can?

It is really buyers beware of clever marketing!






Retirement Income for Life??? (15) - How much is enough for retirement?


Read? Retirement Income for Life??? (14) - How much is enough for retirement?


Let assume that Uncle8888 can work till 80 age old with pay cut for an old depreciating asset.





At 62, 10% pay cut of the last drawn pay at 61.

At 65, 30% pay cut of the last drawn pay at 61.

At 70, 50% pay cut of the last drawn pay at 61.


At 75 70% pay cut of the last drawn pay at 61.

At 80, totally depreciated. Gone case!


What will be his total earned income for working till 80 as compared to his current net worth?

Will he be losing his financial independence?








Outcome bias??? Really that bad???


Just For Thinking ...

You caught a big fish!







Soon other big fish fishermen will slowly move near or around your fishing spot.

Fishermen by nature are outcome bias!

When there is outcome; there is hope.

It could be the last fish at the fishing spot that was caught.

Never mind.  No try. No hope.

Not outcome bias. Then what?

So Uncle8888 by natural is outcome bias. When he sees how other best investors huat; he knows got hope to huat too.























Benchmarking to the well-known investors to narrow down our investment performance gap is outcome bias too. Right?

So is outcome bias really that bad?






Thursday, 1 May 2014

4 Lessons for Fishing and Investing

 

By Jonathan Heller

 
 
A Labor Day weekend fishing trip was a reminder to me that there are a lot of similarities between fishing and investing — and that lessons learned in fishing have application in investing.

My son and I set out early Saturday morning on an 85-foot party boat with the hope of catching enough fluke to provide dinner for six that evening. It was indeed a great day for fishing, and the fluke and flounder were abundant. That's certainly not always the case.


1. But while we caught about 25 fish — plenty of action — there were just two keepers in the lot.
Investment Lesson: You have to be selective about the names in your portfolio. In our case, the law prevented us from keeping more of the flatfish we caught; there is a minimum size of 17 1/2 inches. In my case, I can’t own every available net/net, or stock that’s trading below net current asset value, nor would I want to. They come in different shapes, different sizes and different qualities, just like fish.

2. Patience is necessary. Without it, no fish.

Investment Lesson: When it comes to investing, you need to allow ample time for your investment ideas to play out. You’ve done your homework and taken a position, and you often have to wait, especially when you are a value investor, as I am.

In fishing for fluke, you need to wait for the flatties, which are resting on the bottom, to grab your hook. They are not as aggressive as bluefish, and you can’t yank your line up every 30 seconds because you’re frustrated that there have not been any hits.

You’ve got to let it sit, at least for a while.

I’ve made plenty of mistakes selling names too early. Since we are using the fishing analogy, I made a huge mistake with Cabela’s, taking a position when it seemed that few understood the potential value, and the stock was in the mid $5 range. It ran into the teens, and I wrote some covered calls (learn more), and had the stock taken away at $20. A nice gain, maybe, but Cabela’s is now pushing $50.

3. Even though we were fishing primarily for fluke, there were plenty of other hungry sea creatures that grabbed the bait. Many of these put up a much better fight than the fluke. I hooked something that seemed very large and heavy, and it put up a nice fight. I was hoping it was a 30-inch fluke, a real doormat, and enough to feed all of us dinner. Unfortunately, it was actually a 2 1/2-foot sand shark.

Investment Lesson: If it seems too good to be true, it probably is. Facebook seems to be the poster child for many investment lessons these days, and I’ll invoke its name one more time here.

I was very hopeful that the sand shark on my line was a huge fluke. But it fought much harder than a fluke would have. That did not diminish my false hope, until I could actually see the fish.

Facebook came with much promise, but it was overhyped. Some did not want to believe that it simply was not worth $100 billion.

4. Sometimes, after you’ve waited for a while and it seems as though nothing is happening, it’s time to pull up your line. Perhaps your bait has been taken. Or in some cases we experienced Saturday, there was already a small fish on the hook. It was just too small to get noticed. Either way, it’s time to begin again.

Investment Lesson: Too much patience is not a good thing either. Sometimes you need to close positions, especially if your original reasons for buying are not playing out.

I closed my Wendy’s position after a few years of waiting for cost cutting to kick in and for a slick advertising campaign and new product offerings to reinvigorate the brand with consumers. It has not played out that way so far, and I’ve moved on.

Those small fish I mentioned, already on your hook despite the fact that you don’t notice them, represent an opportunity cost; you can’t catch a bigger fish if you’ve already hooked a smaller one. That’s how I came to view Wendy’s; owning it became an opportunity cost of owning something better.

The good news was that, though there were only two keepers, it was enough fish for dinner.
 

Book : Get Rich with Dividends











  • Diversify your holdings within a dividend portfolio.

  • Don’t invest for income according to how much money you need;

    invest in quality companies with strong dividend performance.

  • When looking at payout ratios, use cash flow.

  • Know your stocks’ dividend growth rates.


  • Yield
    Dividend growth
    Payout ratio

    Never buy a stock simply becuase its yield is attractive.

    Dividend Growth is the preferred way for young investors.

    The stock market is all about growth.

    A key component in the formula is dividend growth. Without it, the dividend will lose its buying power due to inflation. Even with low inflation, over the years, the money won't buy as muh as it used to.

    Our Time is fixed and time is money???


    Just For Thinking ...


    Our Time is fixed and time is money?

    Technical yes!

    But, some will always seem to lack of it and have to rush and fight against Time to squeeze out more "time".

    Some seems to have luxury of Time and taking their own sweet time to spend it without monetising it.

    Funny right?

    So is our Time really fixed?





     








     









     

    DBS


    Planning for Financial Independence???












    One of the monthly activities that you must do ...














    Track your monthly family expenses and have an idea what is  your required net worth for financial independence!






    Dow ends at record high as Fed upbeat on economy

     























    NEW YORK (Reuters) - The Dow closed at its first record high of 2014 on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve gave an upbeat view of the economy's prospects as it announced another cut to its massive bond-buying program.

    Investors brushed aside data showing weak first-quarter economic growth, which was tied to the severe winter that hampered exports and hit investment spending.

    The Fed said in a statement it would reduce its monthly bond purchases to $45 billion from $55 billion, as expected. That will keep it on track to end the program as soon as October.

    That the Fed looked past a dismal reading on first-quarter growth reinforced the view that weather was to blame for the weakness, analysts said.

    "They are seeing some economic activity pick up after the slowdown during the winter," said Joe Bell, senior equity analyst at Schaeffer's Investment Research in Cincinnati. That "is one positive sign."

    Nine of the 10 S&P 500 sectors ended in the black, led by the economically-sensitive S&P materials sector (.SPLRCMA), up 0.8 percent. Exxon Mobil (XOM.N), up 0.9 percent at $102.41, led gains on the S&P 500.

    The Dow Jones industrial average (^DJI) rose 45.47 points or 0.27 percent, to 16,580.84, a record high close. It was the first record close of the year for the Dow.

    The S&P 500 (^GSPC) gained 5.62 points or 0.3 percent, to 1,883.95 and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) added 11.013 points or 0.27 percent, to 4,114.556.

    For the month, the Dow and S&P 500 posted slight gains, while the Nasdaq dropped 2 percent following weeks of heavy selling in tech and biotech "momentum" stocks. The Dow was up 0.7 percent in April; the S&P 500 was up 0.6 percent.

    Stocks were near steady for most of the session, then slowly edged to session highs following the Fed announcement.

    Wednesday, 30 April 2014

    DBS net profit up 9%, beats expectations


    DBS Group Holdings, Singapore's biggest bank, beat expectations as first-quarter core net profit rose 9 percent to record, helped by strong growth in loans. 
     
    DBS said core net profit came to a record S$1.033 billion ($823 million)for the first three months of 2014, up from S$950 million in the same period a year earlier and above an average forecast of S$857 million from six analysts polled by Reuters. 
     
    Net profit including special items, climbed 30 percent to S$1.231 billion, boosted by items such as a one-off gain from the sale of a stake in a Philippine lender.

    DBS has so far largely been affected by slower growth in housing market after government cooling measures.
     
    "Despite challenging fixed income markets, quarterly earnings crossed the S$1 billion mark for the first time, a testament to the strength of our franchise," DBS CEO Piyush Gupta said in a statement.
     




    What was I thinking and feeling in Mar 2009 Bear market low? (2) - Re-posted



    Read? What was I thinking and feeling in Mar 2009 Bear market low? (2)


    When the market keeps falling to a certain point even some most experienced and seasoned retail veteran investors will cut losses and stay out of the market and hoping to buy back lower.

    We can plan but when the moment arrived our balls may shrink faster than the market drop.

    We need strategies to overcome the Fear.

    What are your strategies in addition to your capital deployment plan?

    The Mind part?





    Monday, 28 April 2014

    Keppel partners Seafox on study to build one of the world’s first jackups with P&A features

    The accommodation jackup rig with Plug & Abandonment (P&A) features will be based on Keppel’s KFELS J Class design which is suited for the harsh environment of the Norwegian North Sea.

    Keppel FELS Limited (Keppel FELS), a wholly owned subsidiary of Keppel Offshore & Marine (Keppel O&M) has signed an engineering services agreement with Workfox B.V, a subsidiary of the Seafox Group (Seafox), to embark on an engineering study of a purpose-built accommodation jackup rig with well intervention and P&A features.

    The project, which is named Seafox 8, is being developed to address a gap in the current P&A market. Subsea fields are reaching the end of their productive lives in areas such as the North Sea and the Gulf of Mexico. With increasing environmental concerns and regulations, there are a substantial number of wells in both these regions that will need to be properly sealed up in the next few years.

    Seafox 8 will be able to offer P&A services, well intervention services, as well as accommodation and crane support services. It has a spacious deck and comprehensive amenities for the comfort of 282 persons on board. The jackup can also be configured for other offshore support services. Compared to existing jackups chartered for P&A work, Seafox 8 is expected to be 25-30% more economical in terms of dayrates. It will be the first accommodation and service jackup unit that is specifically suited to support rigless activities for P&A and well services at a competitive cost.

    Leveraging the successful partnership of an earlier project, Seafox 5, Keppel O&M is also in discussion with Seafox to enter into a joint venture to place an order for Seafox 8 upon completion of the study, which is expected in 2H 2014.

    Mr Keesjan Cordia, CEO of Seafox, said, "With our background in providing accommodation support, workover, construction, and decommissioning services to the offshore oil & gas industry, we noticed the strong demand for P&A services and identified a need for a specialised rig in this market. We believe the jackup we are conceiving, Seafox 8, offers the ideal solution as it can work all year round including during the North Sea's winter period and undertake multiple services at a time. It is a real workhorse and unlike drilling rigs which are often used to do P&A currently, Seafox 8 has the crane capacity to assist with maintenance and well services activities. It has NORSOK-specified accommodation for crew and client personnel, and a lower operating cost than existing equipment with a single role purpose."

    "We are glad to continue this winning partnership we have with Keppel in coming up with innovative products. Seafox 5, a multi-purpose self-elevating platform (MPSEP), which they built for us previously, has been performing extremely well and I am confident that Seafox 8 will be just as successful."

    The hull and legs of the new generation jackup rig will be based on Keppel's new KFELS J Class design which is customised to operate in water depths of up to 112 metres in the harsh offshore environmental conditions of the Norwegian North Sea.

    Developed by Offshore Technology Development (OTD), Keppel's R&D arm, the robust KFELS J Class is designed as a drilling jackup rig for the Norwegian North Sea and is an enhancement of Keppel's proven harsh environment drilling rigs - the KFELS N Class and KFELS G Class designs. Keppel O&M has previously delivered three rigs of each design, which have been successfully operating in the North Sea including Norwegian waters.

    Mr Wong Kok Seng, Managing Director of Keppel O&M (Offshore) and Keppel FELS said, "We have successfully developed and commercialised many proprietary concepts for a variety of offshore services and challenging frontiers by partnering our trendsetting customers in the early stages of those projects. For Seafox 8, we are taking the hull of an ultra-harsh environment rig in our KFELS J Class for use as an accommodation rig with equipment for P&A services. The KFELS J Class extends the capabilities of our proven KFELS G Class and KFELS N Class designs for work in the North Sea.

    "This is an example of how we have been able to leverage and apply our technology expertise innovatively for a variety of offshore applications. And with an experienced partner like Seafox in this market, we are confident Seafox 8 will be well-received and give us a good head start in growing our track record as the leading solutions provider for the P&A services sector."

    Keppel O&M and Seafox have a 49/51 joint venture in Seafox 5, an offshore wind turbine installation vessel which was built to Keppel's proprietary MPSEP design. Delivered in 2012, Seafox 5 has successfully installed 80 monopiles for offshore wind turbines in the German Sector of the North Sea and is currently deployed for Maersk Oil and Gas for accommodation and maintenance work. After its contract with Maersk, Seafox 5 will be chartered to DONG Energy E&P to service their operation at the Hejre field, in the Central North Sea, off the coast of Denmark.

    Mr Wong added, "With Seafox 5, our foray into the offshore wind and oil and gas support services market has proven to be successful. Seafox is the leading operator in this field and Seafox 5 has received excellent charters and strong enquiries. Having done our due diligence on the P&A market, we are replicating this successful partnership with Seafox to be one of the first to seize the opportunities in this market."

    The above agreement is not expected to have any material impact on the net tangible assets and earnings per share of Keppel Corporation Limited for the current financial year.

    About the plug and abandonment market

    Countries and industry regulatory officials are mandating the offshore oil and gas operators to immediately seal unproductive wells to permanently remove these potential environmental threats. Service companies are developing tools and methods to limit the economic impact of fulfilling these obligations.

    Industry estimates put as many as 12,000 wells in the Gulf of Mexico which qualify as P&A candidates. In the UK sector of the North Sea alone, it is estimated that more than 500 structures with about 3,000 wells are slated for permanent abandonment in the near future. In the Norwegian sector of the North Sea, more than 350 platforms and more than 3,700 wells eventually must be permanently abandoned. Nearly 70 per cent of the forecast wells P&A expenditure is in the Central and Northern North Sea, equating to £3.1 billion. Almost 480 wells are scheduled for decommissioning in these regions, of which nearly 60 per cent are platform wells.

    There are currently two methods of P&A. The first is using the available equipment on a fixed platform to execute the P&A without the support of a rig. This method is almost always faced with constrains on deck and bed space limitations, multiple logistics challenges and the downside of high man-hours. Another method is using drilling rigs with the use of third party equipment. However, drilling rigs' dayrates are rather expensive for such applications.


    - END -


    Inflation - The Silent Killer



    Just For Thinking ....


    Read? Inflation - The Silent Killer


    1. Singapore Inflation Rate











     

     
    XIRR of Inflation (2000 to 2013) = 2.1%
     
     
    2. Uncle8888 is an old human asset that depreciates with time .....
     
     
     
     
     
    XIRR of Salary (2000 to 2013) = 0.7%
     
    KNS!
     








    3. Uncle8888's Investment Portfolio Performance


    XIRR of Investment Portfolio (Jan 2000 to 25 Apr 2014) = 9.6%


    4. Impact of inflation?

    Fortunately, the poor return of 0.7% from an old human asset is compensated by higher investment return of 9.6%.











    The Moral of the Story ...

    Most human asset after 20 or 30 years of working will start to depreciate with time. Sad truth!

    So how?

    We may have little choice; but spend some effort and time to learn more on investing and to manage our investment portfolio to beat inflation by some percentage unless we are successful in climbing corporate ladder. The promotional salary increments and annual bonuses will be way ahead of inflation.

    Two ways to beat inflation:


    1) Do well in our career development and climb corporate ladder

    2) Do well in our investment and climb investment ladder


    Don't forget Investing Lessons From Conversation With Uncle8888 (1)


    We should work hard on our Financial Assets and let them work harder for us to compensate our depreciating human asset in the last phase of our work life.




     
     
     
    Do you have any other better ways?
     
     
    Do share them.
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     


    Sunday, 27 April 2014

    How to control your emotions in investing??? (4)


    Read? How to control your emotions in investing??? (3)

    Read? Fishing and Stock Market (4)


    This is all happening in your mind!

    What are you hoping for and good enough to be happy with?

    Are you greedy enough to think big?

    Do you have that kind of patience to be that greedy?




    Learn it all from Uncle8888's fishing trips!







    Auntie8888's mind in fishing

    At every fishing trip, Auntie8888 is only interested in catching more fish to cook for dinner. She don't have the ambitious of catching big fish so she will only use small hooks and small baits (one piece of prawn cut into many small pieces).

    May be that is the mindset of a housewife; it is better to have fish to eat for more meals than dreaming of eating big fish for one or two meals only.

    No matter how lucky she can be; she can never hope to catch big fish. Her method will never allow it to happen naturally as big fish won't take small bait. Small hook can't hold up the big fish.

    However, at every fishing trip, she will be able to bring more fish back home to cook for several meals since she can continuously fish at both high tide and low tide.




















    Uncle8888's mind in fishing


    He is always dreaming of catching it big!

    Why dreaming?

    We can't really catch big fish near shore.

    To catch big fish ....

    Read? Fishing offences on the rise

    Sport fishing can be costly.

    At the lower range, getting started could cost you about $$100, and heading overseas can cost as much as $$20,000 a trip.

    Mr Tan said: “Sport fishing can be done very cheap. We have sets at S$100, S$300. But if you're going for stuff like… tuna, marlin, your S$10,000 comes in here. (For) big game fish, you need to hire a sea boat to get out there to catch fish. Also, sometimes, (there are) areas where you require helicopters -- that's when S$10,000, S$20,000 comes in.”



    So for fishing at the shore, we have to be lucky to catch those unlucky big fishes that come too near to the shore during high tide to find food.

    The window of opportunity to catch big fish at shore during high tide is between 1 and 1.5 hours and he will have to wait patiently for many hours for the next tide. Most of the so-called windows of opportunity is nothing more than just hope.

    Sometime, he may get lucky with one or two unlucky fish; but most of the times, the fish is lucky but he is unlucky.

    Uncle8888's last fish trip biggest catch:





    No big fish at the end of his fishing trip, sianz!


    Uncle8888's Investing Mind.

    He likes to dream big to catch more multi-baggers and plant more Money Trees; but he knows it very well. It will be like his fishing trips. It is just hope and plenty of PATIENCE to wait for the next window of opportunity to try again. Most of the so-called Window of Opportunities is nothing more than just hope and dreams for the next season. Never give up!

    Your emotions is how you control them. Right?

    Take up fishing as hobby?


















     










    How to control your emotions in investing??? (3)



    Read? How to control your emotions in investing??? (2)


    The emotion of Greed, Fear and Hope will many times lead us to decide ...


    Scare of the next Bird Flu?

    To kill the Golden Goose before the next Bird Flu kills her or hopefully and happily collect more Golden Eggs?







     

     
     
     
     
     
     
     
    This has happened to Uncle8888 so many times until he became bo chap.
     
     
    The Fear is always in the Chart!
     

     
     
     
    But, the Greed and Hope is many times happening in the Mind.
     
    How about getting 100% total return p.a. to boast one day?
     
    So shiok! Greed and hope at play.
     
     

     
     




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