Your Valentine's Roses



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Welcome to Ministry of Wealth and Gifts for your loved ones!

This blog is authored by an old multi-bagger blue chips stock picker uncle from HDB heartland!

"The market is not your mother. It consists of tough men and women who look for ways to take money away from you instead of pouring milk into your mouth." - Dr. Alexander Elder

"For the things we have to learn before we can do them, we learn by doing them." - Aristotle

It is here where I share with you how I did it! FREE Education in stock market wisdom.

Think Investing as Tug of War - Read more? Click and scroll down


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Value Investing
Dividend/Income Investing
Technical Analysis and Charting
Stock Tips

Wednesday, 30 June 2010

Swiber lodges prelim offer for subsea services

By ANGELA TAN


Swiber Holdings Limited, which plans to list its subsea services business on the Catalist board of the SGX, said on Wednesday that the preliminary offer document of Kreuz Holdings Pte Ltd has been lodged with the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

The engineering group said in May that it would seek a single listing for the business currently handled by its Kreuz Subsea and Kreuz Subsea Marine units.

DBS Bank Ltd is thesponsor appointed for the proposed listing.

H1 2010 Quarterly Performance Report

Year Goal Hit Rate

Year Goal Hit Rate improved by +8.7% from 26.8% in H1 2009 to 35.5% in H1 2010.

(In 2003, I set some bullish progressive year goals from 2003 to 2011.

2010 Year Goal is 74.9% of 2009 Total Salary including all CPF contributions. Quite a big goal!)

STI - H1 Window-dressing saved the day!


Straits Times 2,835.51 +5.17 +0.18%

Shares close higher


SINGAPORE - Singapore shares closed higher on Wednesday with the blue-chip Straits Times Index up 5.17 points to 2,835.51.

Volume was 1.31 billion shares worth $1.70 billion.

Losers led gainers 262 to 183.

CAGR III

LP's CAGR II

A Carpenter and his Measuring Tape

A carpenter uses his measuring tape to measure twice before he cuts his wood; but a private tutor doesn't really need to measure and has no wood to cut and he will think that why does anybody in the world need a measuring tape?

CAGR is like a measuring tape to an investor.

Why you need to measure? Measure, measure, measure - Part 2

To ease measuring: Two Bank Accounts? No, You may need Four! - Part 2

LP's little problem with CAGR

"I think cagr can be used to find out one's investing returns per year, compounded annually. However, it doesn't work if you inject or withdraw cash, affecting the initial value. I have such problems because I never did fix a investing capital and see how much it'll grow from there. I continually invest more over the years."


Injecting cash
 
CAGR isn't the actual return in reality. It's an imaginary number that describes the rate at which an investment would have grown if it grew at a steady rate.
 
Simply use "Total Invested Capital" including those cash you have injected yesterday -  anything seriously wrong with it? Do you really need to boost your ego? When investing in the stock market, it is wise to hang your ego at the door.
 
Withdrawing cash
 
When withdrawing cash, you simply treat it capital reduction. When you reduce some capital in your portfolio, you will have to similarly reduce the pro-rated Realized Profits to minimize the positive distortion in CAGR (i.e to avoid better than actual)
 
For example,
 
This is what I did when I withdrew some cash in 2009 to fund my two kids Uni expenses.
 
Total Invested Capital = $100,000; Realized Profit is $50,000
 
Capital + Realized Profit = $100,000 + $50,000 = $150,000
 
I withdrew $10,000 cash from the Portfolio.
 
$10,000/$150,000 = 6.7%
 
So I deducted 6.7% off the Capital and 6.7% off the Realized Profit.
 
After the cash withdrawal:
 
Total Invested Capital = $93,333
Realized Profit = $46,667

DOW - Horrible!


Dow 9,870.30 -268.22 -2.65%

4:30 pm : Market participants sought safety after growth concerns triggered a global selloff that sent the S&P 500 to its lowest intraday level and closing level since November.


Sellers controlled trade since the start of the session. Their efforts were stirred by concerns that global growth might not be so strong after China, a leading force in the global recovery, had its leading economic indicators for April slashed to show a tepid 0.3% increase from the previously reported 1.7% surge.

Matters weren't helped by worries about a potential liquidity squeeze in Europe after the European Central Bank refused to extend liquidity measures to banks. Spanish banks are reportedly lobbying for the program's expiration to be reconsidered.

Though a small dose, U.S. data did nothing to quell concern among market participants. Specifically, the Consumer Confidence Index for June came in at 52.9, which was well short of the 62.0 that had been widely expected and also well below the 62.7 that was posted for the prior month.

Sellers never really let up on stocks. So successful were their efforts that only one stock in the S&P 500 -- Zimmer Holdings (ZMH 54.60, +0.03) -- was able to eke out a gain. The broad-based selloff sent the benchmark index to its lowest level of the year in late trade. It closed just a few points above that mark following from a faint flurry of buying into the close.

Tuesday, 29 June 2010

Strong interest in Keppel's K-Green Trust

SINGAPORE - Shares of K-Green Trust made a strong debut on the Singapore stock market on Tuesday, rising as high as $1.33 (US$0.96) with over eight million shares traded.
Around 0243 GMT, K-Green was traded at $1.22, 5.2 per cent higher than its implied price of $1.16.

'Investors are keen on buying the stock mostly because of its good dividend yield and long-term prospects for the green business,' said a local trader.

K-Green, which owns waste-to-energy and water treatment plants, is 49 per cent-owned by rigbuilding, engineering and property conglomerate Keppel Corp.

It made its Singapore market debut after its parent distributed 51 per cent of K-Green shares to existing Keppel shareholders. -- REUTERS

STI - Fear is back!




Straits Times 2,830.34 -39.65 -1.38%


S'pore shares close lower


By JOANNAH PEREZ

SINGAPORE - Singapore shares closed weaker on Tuesday with the blue-chip Straits Times Index down 39.65 points to 2,830.34.

Volume was 1.39 billion shares worth $1.44 billion.

Losers led gainers 378 to 113.


SINGAPORE - Singapore share prices ended 1.4 percent lower on Tuesday in line with regional markets as worries about the state of China's economy hit investor confidence.


The key Straits Times Index fell 39.65 points to 2830.34. Overall volume traded was 1.4 billion shares worth S$1.44b. In the broader market, losers beat gainers 378 to 113.

Many regional markets fell after Shanghai stocks retreated sharply to end at a 14-month low on concerns the mainland economy could slow down in coming months.

Sentiment was also hit as weak Japanese data illustrated the fragile recovery in the world's second biggest economy.

Chinese and Hong Kong stocks tumbled on growing fears over market sentiment after the last of China's "big four" state banks priced its initial public offering in Shanghai below expectations.

China's Shanghai Composite reversed early gains to tumble 4.3% for its worst percentage fall in more than a month to end at 2,427.05, its lowest finish since April 28, 2009, with analysts saying the low price range for Agricultural Bank of China's initial public offering had raised concerns.

The sharp reversal in Shanghai also dragged down other regional markets, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index down 2.3%, Japan's Nikkei Stock Average off 1.3%, South Korea's Kospi 1.4% lower, Australia's S&P/ASX down 0.9% and Taiwan's Taiex down 1.03%.

SEMBCORP TO DEVELOP A NEW INTEGRATED WASTEWATER TREATMENT FACILITY IN JURONG ISLAND’S TEMBUSU DISTRICT

- Key customer for wastewater treatment in Tembusu secured


- New facility will more than double Sembcorp’s wastewater treatment capacity on Jurong Island

SINGAPORE, June 29, 2010 – Sembcorp is pleased to announce that its utilities business has secured its first wastewater treatment customer in the new Tembusu district of Singapore’s Jurong Island petrochemical cluster. Sembcorp will provide industrial wastewater treatment services to German specialty chemicals company LANXESS’ butyl rubber facility from a new integrated industrial wastewater treatment plant to be located in Tembusu. Expected to be completed by the second quarter of 2012 at an investment cost of approximately $40 million, the new facility will more than double Sembcorp’s current industrial wastewater treatment capacity on Jurong Island, and will be sufficient to serve LANXESS as well as further customers. The facility is expected to have an initial total capacity of 9,600 cubic metres per day to serve its customers.

Commented Sembcorp Group President & CEO Mr Tang Kin Fei, “This new contract from LANXESS is yet another vote of confidence in Sembcorp as a global leader in the provision of industrial wastewater treatment solutions to serve the specialised needs of chemical and petrochemical customers.

"With Sembcorp’s expertise and strong track record of over a decade on Jurong Island, we look forward to supporting LANXESS and other customers with our effective solutions. With this new facility, Sembcorp is well-positioned to meet growing customer needs on Jurong Island.”

Sembcorp is a well-established provider of third party outsourced utilities in the Sakra and Seraya districts of Jurong Island. The company has supplied a full range of energy, water and on-site logistics and services to chemical and petrochemical manufacturers on the island for over a decade, and has the technical and operational expertise to treat multiple streams of high concentration and complex industrial wastewater.

The contract is not expected to have a material impact on the earnings per share and net tangible assets per share of Sembcorp Industries for the current financial year.

DOW - Directionless!

Dow 10,138.52 5.29 (0.05%)

Monday, 28 June 2010

SCI - May be it is time to move up!

CapitaLand rids stake in China co for S$117 mln, to make S$33 mln net gain

By BT

CapitaLand Limited said on Monday that its subsidiary, CapitaLand (Sichuan) Holdings Pte Ltd, has sold its entire 50 per cent stake in Sichuan Zhixin CapitaLand Co, Ltd (SZC) to Chengdu Zhixin Industrial (Group) Co, Ltd. (CZI) for RMB570 million (about S$117 million) in cash.

SZC is a property development company in China. It is a joint venture between CapitaLand and CZI, which holds the remaining 50 per cent.

'The sale is part of CapitaLand Group's ongoing strategy of capital productivity,' the company said.

The sale is expected to be completed in the third quarter of 2010.

SZC will cease to be an associated company of CapitaLand and CapitaLand will recognise in its Group consolidated financial statements a net gain of about S$33 million.

STI - H1 window-dressing in play


Straits Times 2,869.99 +18.35 +0.64%

S'pore shares close higher


By JOANNAH PEREZ

SINGAPORE - Singapore shares closed higher on Monday with the blue-chip Straits Times Index up 18.35 points to 2,869.99.

Volume was 894.80 million shares worth $893.40 million.

Gainers led losers 239 to 176.

SEMBCORP SIGNS MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING TO EXPAND SEAWATER DESALINATION CAPACITY IN THE UAE

SINGAPORE, June 28, 2010 - Sembcorp Industries (Sembcorp) is pleased to announce that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Sembcorp Utilities, has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with the Abu Dhabi Water and Electricity Authority (ADWEA) in the UAE to develop and build a new seawater reverse osmosis facility with potable water production capacity of around 30 million imperial gallons per day (MIGD). When developed, the new reverse osmosis plant will enhance Sembcorp’s total seawater desalination capacity in the UAE from 100 MIGD to 130 MIGD. The new seawater reverse osmosis facility is expected to be located on the same site as the Fujairah 1 Independent Water and Power Plant (IWPP), the largest operating hybrid desalination plant in the world, owned by Emirates Sembcorp Water & Power Company. Emirates Sembcorp Water & Power Company is a joint venture between Sembcorp Gulf Holding Co and Union Power Holding Company, subsidiaries of Sembcorp Utilities and ADWEA respectively.


Expected to cost approximately US$200 million and to be operational before end 2013, the water output of the new reverse osmosis facility is expected to be sold to the Abu Dhabi Water and Electricity Company (ADWEC) under a 20-year Water Purchase Agreement. This is in addition to the 22-year Power and Water Purchase Agreement for the current water and electricity output from the Fujairah 1 IWPP to ADWEC.

Mr Tang Kin Fei, Group President & CEO of Sembcorp, said, “We are pleased to take our strong relationship with our partner ADWEA a step further with the planned development of the new reverse osmosis plant. This new development will increase our water capacity and enable us to serve the growing needs for water in the UAE.”

Besides the Fujairah 1 IWPP, Sembcorp has also established a second beachhead in the Middle East with an investment to develop, build, own and operate a combined power and desalination plant in Salalah, Oman. The Salalah plant, with a gross power capacity of 490 megawatts and a seawater desalination capacity of 15 MIGD, is expected to begin full commercial operations in the first half of 2012.

Sunday, 27 June 2010

How did you lose money in the stock market?

From my frequent visits to investment or trading blogs and forums, I have this understanding that some retail investors lost their money in the stock market due to either panic selling as they were worried that their stocks would crash to zero or they were "forced" to sell due to urgent need for money.

If you are really keen to play in the stock market, you better make sure that you will never be cornered by bad market conditions into panic or "forced" selling. Want to play, must be steady steady ones!

Property Investing - doing the Math - Part 4

Property Investing - doing the Math (Part 3)

Academician turned property millionaire

Dr Peter Yee: "My learning is that capital gain is mostly from the land. Building gives you the cash flow. Building is a deteriorated cost. It needs repair."


Yet in Singapore, some property investors are so excited over 99-year LH properties as good investment for capital gains.
 
If it is just for cash flow, is it really true that rental income is a better alternative to dividends from a well-diversified stock portfolio as passive income?
 
Passive Income - Rental vs Dividend Yield

5 Myths About ETFs - Part 4




If you look at the price volatility of STI ETF monthly chart, it can be damn scary depending when you bought it and when you need to liquidate it to meet unexpected cash expenses arising from life crisis.

It has plunged from monthly high at $3.30 in May 2008 to the monthly low at $1.60 in Feb 2009 and has since recovered to monthly close at $2.93 in Jun 2010


STI ETF is a low cost managed investment fund but it is traded like a stock.

It is volatile too!

It may cause you to lose heavily just like any individual stock when you need to liquidate it at the wrong market condition e.g. in Feb 2009.

Open your mind wide and think!


STI ETF is a low cost but not a low-risk investment and it may potentially cause you lose money when you desperately need the money.

Retirement Planning Review


Totally no draw-down method may be harder to achieve unless I strike ToTo $5M on Monday. 

Another approach is to delay the draw-down as long as possible to reduce the need to achieve higher componding returns on Portfolio B to fight inflation.

Portfolio A : Non-volatile and less volatile stock dividends to provide sustainable retirement income
Portfolio B : Volatile stocks trading to fight inflation



So I will be shifting  towards Portfolio A and Portfolio B approach.


Saturday, 26 June 2010

Uncomfortable With Draw-down Method? - 2nd Visit

http://createwealth8888.blogspot.com/2010/01/uncomfortable-with-draw-dowm-method.html

Doing the Maths for retirement without any draw-down method

For example:

We need retirement expenses of $10,000 at age 55.

Using dual portfolio strategy - Passive and Active income



Portfolio A to generate fixed passive income of $10,000 from 55 till 80 years old.

At 4% ROC, you will need 25 times the annual expenses i.e. $250,000

Portfolio B to generate active income to offset inflation from 55 till 80 years old.

See table for capital required for Portfolio B and its ROC.



Conclusion
  1. With draw-down method, you can retire with 25 times your expected annual expenses at 55
  2. With no draw-down method, you may need 30 - 32 times or even much more your expected annual expenses at 55 as compounding the portfolio returns at 8.7% - 7.2% through the next 25 years of Bull and Bear market cycle is not easy.

15 Insurance Policies You Don't Need

15 Insurance Policies You Don't Need

8. Life Insurance for Children


Life insurance is designed to provide a safety net for your heirs/dependents. Because children don't have heirs to worry about and, statistically speaking, most kids will grow up safe and healthy, most parents should not purchase life insurance for their kids. Instead, use the money that you would have spent on life insurance to fund an education plan or an individual retirement account (IRA).

Tips On Child Life Insurance - Part 4


14. Disease Insurance


Policies are available to cover cancer, heart disease and other maladies. Instead of trying to identify every possible disease that you may encounter, get a good medical coverage policy instead. This way, your medical bills will be covered regardless of the problem you face.


Critical illness insurance pays you for living - Revisit

DOW - Still surviving!



Dow 10,143.81 -8.99 -0.09%

By: Cindy Perman, JeeYeon Park

Stocks ended mixed Friday, with banks rallying after Congress finally settled on a financial-reform bill. For the week, though, stocks lost 2.9 percent, led by energy.


The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended down 8.99, or 0.1 percent, at 10,143.81 today, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher. The CBOE volatility index, widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, dropped below 29 but was still higher than where it ended last week, at 23.88.

Friday, 25 June 2010

OCBC



MM Lee says S'pore banks may need to consolidate to expand overseas

DBS merges with OCBC? Since UOB is a family controlled bank so it is harder to eat up.

-----------------------------------------
By Imelda Saad

Posted: 25 June 2010 2256 hrs

SINGAPORE : Minister Mentor Lee Kuan Yew said Singapore's local banks may need to consolidate if they want to effectively expand overseas.

He said the three local lenders did not have the size to engage foreign markets in the same way that global leaders do.

Speaking at an event organised by the Association of Banks in Singapore on Friday, Mr Lee suggested that it might be better for the banks to consolidate to two, or even one entity to generate the mass required to break into foreign markets.

With opportunities in China and India opening up, and limited penetration in Southeast Asian markets, Mr Lee said local lenders needed scale.

He said: "We're in Indonesia in a small way, Malaysia in a small way, Thailand almost nothing. But the big future is in China and in India. And I don't see three banks as capable of making that foray as two banks… Just look at the capitalisation of the big banks in the US and in the UK."

So hard to sell!

Be Far Better At Selling Than At Buying? - Revisit

My colleague told me he has problem in selling. When Market is up no heart to sell and when market is down how to sell? After 10 years in the market, still like that.

I told him I have no problem in selling and the reason is so simple. I have yearly profit target to meet while he doesn't have one.  Profit can come from stock dividends or realized profit from selling stocks.

The profit target must be far above the total estimated stock dividends that can be collected in your portfolio to be effective in enforcing sell discipline.

So to be able to meet my yearly profit target, I will have to look hard at my portfolio and decide which ones to sell to realize profits and which ones to generate dividends. The unloved ones will be sold when market conditions still allow.

After selling some stocks, I will have to look again at the market to replenish the stock inventory for the next sell cycle. In this way, buy and sell cycles will come naturally as I need to meet profit target and sitting there doing nothing is not an option.

So when you really have problem in selling, try this cure - seriously set a yearly profit target for yourself and then make serious efforts to meet it.

Norit, PUB S'pore to sign water technology MOU

MOU not with Hyflux, Kep Corp and Semb Corp.  What will happen to Hyflux next week?

------------------------------------------
By ANGELA TAN


Netherland's Norit X-Flow and its local affiliate Norit Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (Norit), and PUB, Singapore's national water agency, will sign a memorandum of understanding (MOU) that outlines plans for cooperation on several water technologies.

The MOU explores possibilities for Norit Asia Pacific to develop a Norit Airlift™ Membrane BioReactor (MBR) Megablock validation plant at one of PUB's water reclamation plants. The validation plant will be the first of its kind in Asia, and only the second such system in the world.

The signing ceremony is scheduled for July 1, 2010 during the Singapore International Water week.

STI - Why no serious damage today?


Straits Times 2,851.64 +4.03 +0.14%
S'pore shares close stronger


By JOANNAH PEREZ

SINGAPORE - Singapore shares closed higher on Friday with the blue-chip Straits Times Index up 4.03 points to 2,851.64.

Volume was 991.30 million shares worth $1.03 billion.

Losers led gainers 212 to 197.


SINGAPORE - Singapore share prices ended mixed on Friday as late bargain hunting clawed back some earlier losses.


The blue-chip Straits Times Index rose 0.1 percent or 4.03 points to 2,851.64. But in the broader market, losers outnumbered gainers 212 to 197. Overall volume traded was 991.3 million shares worth S$1.03 billion.

Small-cap stocks were heavily traded, with pharmaceutical company Reyphon Agriceutical up 9.1% at S$0.06 and plantation firm GMG Global 2.3% higher at S$0.225.

Singapore Exchange shares, widely seen as a barometer of the health of the exchange, were down 0.4% at S$7.57.

Singapore's rig builders ended higher on the expectation that the US government's drilling ban is unlikely to hurt rig demand.

Keppel Corp gained 1% to S$8.76 while Sembcorp Marine rose 0.5% to S$3.99.





Hyflux - Sold $3.30, ROC 17.1%

I have finally decided to redeem my past sin in 2008 today.

Round 7: ROC 17.1%, 721 days, B $2.77 S $3.30

DOW - Bears strike back!

Dow 10,152.80 -145.64 -1.41%

Yahoo Finance News

4:30 pm : Four straight losses have the stock market down nearly 4% week-to-date. The most recent slide came amid some rather uninspiring data and some mixed earnings reports.


Market participants initially had a somewhat positive reaction to premarket data that showed durable goods orders for May fell 1.1%, which was softer than the expected 1.3% decline, and orders less transportation increased 0.9%, which was a slower clip than the 1.3% increase that had been anticipated.

The durable goods orders figures were released at the same time as the initial jobless claims count for the week ended June 19. The latest lot of claims declined 19,000 week-over-week to 457,000, which was largely in-line with the 460,000 initial claims that had been widely expected. Continuing claims fell 45,000 week-over-week to 4.55 million, which was also on par with what had been expected.

Though the data wasn't inspiring, it didn't disappoint either. In turn, there was a sense of relief among many market participants, given the salience of yesterday's worst new home sales report on record and the disappointing jobless claims report from the prior week. Still, the stock market started the session in the red and quickly fell under a sharp, broad-based selling effort.

All 10 major sectors settled in the red after an afternoon attempt to lessen losses failed. Instead, the broader market finished near its session low in its worst performance of the week. Even utilities logged a 0.3% loss after it had spent the first several hours in higher ground.


Volatility spiked as result of the stock market's selloff. That sent the Volatility Index more than 10% higher. It has been nearly three weeks since it moved so sharply.

Despite the increase in volatility and the widespread weakness among stocks, Treasuries were unable to sustain gains. Early support for the benchmark 10-year Note caused its yield to set a new 52-week low near 3.07%, but the Note fell to a fractional loss after a 7-year Note auction produced a bid-to-cover of 3.0 and dollar demand of $90.3 billion.

Thursday, 24 June 2010

Hyflux - Pull back completed?



Watch out next week ...

PUB to unveil new water targets and strategy

Keppel secures S$50 mln marine contracts

By ANGELA TAN


Keppel Offshore & Marine Ltd's (Keppel O&M) subsidiaries in the Philippines and Singapore have clinched contracts worth about S$50 million for the construction and upgrading of vessels.

Its yards in Subic and Batangas are each constructing a transshipment barge for PT Mitra Bahtera Segarasejati and PT Pelayaran Kartika Samudra Adijaya respectively. Both vessels are targeted for completion by end 2010.

In Singapore, Keppel Singmarine Ltd has also clinched a contract from PT Indo Straits to build a similar transshipment barge that is scheduled for delivery in the first quarter of 2011.

All three barges will be deployed in Indonesian waters to load and discharge coal between vessels during open sea transshipping operations.

In addition to the above contracts, Subic Shipyard has also been awarded a drillship upgrading job by Frontier Drilling.

STI - Watch out! Danger ahead!


Straits Times 2,847.61 -23.44 -0.82%

S'pore shares close weaker

By JOANNAH PEREZ

SINGAPORE - Singapore shares closed lower on Thursday with the blue-chip Straits Times Index down 23.44 points to 2,847.61.

Volume was 1.50 billion shares worth $1.13 billion.

Losers led gainers 305 to 168.

Inflation in Singapore stood at 3.2%

Inflation in Singapore stood at 3.2% for the second month in a row - as the increase in prices of goods and services remained at a 14-month high.

--------------------------------------------------------------

This means that your compounded returns on all your saving and investment must be more than 3.2% for this year or else you will be having negative growth.
Personal Inflation Rate and Market Inflation Rate

DOW - Survived and could have been worse!


Dow 10,298.44 +4.92

By: Cindy Perman, JeeYeon Park

The Dow squeaked out a gain Wednesday after the Fed renewed its pledge to keep rates low and offered a statement with no surprises.


Stocks had spent much of the day in negative territory after another disappointing housing report but bobbed in and out of positive territory in the final two hours of trading.

New home sales dropped a whopping 32.7 percent to a record low 300,000 annual pace in May, the Commerce Department reported. This came after a report Tuesday showed existing-home sales fell 2.2 percent in May from April.


Investors backed off one safe-haven trade: Gold fell more than $5 and settled at $1,234.10 an ounce.

Wednesday, 23 June 2010

SML - Pulling back to shake off weaker holders


9D EMA cutting 45D EMA in the next 2-3 days.

CPL - Still bullish!

STI - Not too bad today!

Straits Times 2,865.87 -6.43 -0.22%

SINGAPORE - Singapore share prices ended flat on Wednesday, with the key Straits Times Index falling 0.04% or 1.25 point to close at 2,871.05.


Disappointing US housing data and uncertainty over the US government's moratorium on deepwater drilling dragged on the STI for most of the session. But the index managed to recover some losses after some late bargain hunting.

Overall volume traded was 1.20 billion shares worth S$1.05 billion. Losers outweighed gainers 229 to 205.

Commodities stocks weakened, with Noble Group down 2.1% at S$1.86 and Golden Agri-Resources 0.9% lower at S$0.545.

Legal uncertainties over the US government's moratorium on deep-sea drilling weighed on some of Singapore's rig builders, with Keppel Corp down 1.8% to S$8.75.



- CNA/ir

One Big Thing We Don't Know About Stocks

The New York Times

Carl Richards is a certified financial planner and the founder of Prasada Capital.


The only reason we invest in stocks is to earn more than we would get from cash or bonds. The amount you are supposed to earn by taking the additional risk of owning stocks is called the risk premium. If you don't get paid more for taking the risk, you should put your money in bonds.

Over the last 207 years you got paid 2.5 percentage points more each year (on average) to invest in stocks than you did in bonds.

But you know what they say about statistics, right? In the real world, we have to deal with the fact that like all averages, this one has some serious problems. Sometimes the risk premium is higher than 2.5%, and sometimes it goes away or is hugely negative (say, in a bear market).

Until recently, most of us thought of bear markets as those three to five year periods where you grit you teeth and hang on. But recent experience is more painful than that.

In an article by Robert Arnott in the Journal of Indexes, he highlights multiple 20, 30 and even 40 year periods where we would have been better off in bonds. In other words, the risk premium did not exist.

This starts to get ugly when we admit that we have no idea when these types of prolonged bear (or sideways) markets are coming. Where are we right now in the cycle? I have no idea, and I wouldn't bet my life savings on anyone who claims to.

So earning this mythical risk premium of 2.5% is largely a function of timing, and it's not the kind of timing we can control. This is the purely random luck kind of timing: When you were born, when you sell your business, when you retire or receive a large lump sum to invest. And if the risk premium is a function of timing, and timing is a function of luck, it doesn't take much to realize that earning the mythical risk premium is a function of pure luck, too.

This is why so many of us who have been investing for 15 years feel like we are about back where we started, even if we did everything right ( assets allocated, properly diversified, didn't bail out at the bottom and so on).

Let me clear, I am not saying that the risk premium is dead, or that we should run out and sell everything. But I am suggesting that with the Dow bouncing around 10,000, it might be time to consider what you define as long term. Ask yourself if you can you live through a prolonged period where you earn no risk premium at all, and make adjustments accordingly.

Stocks by nature are risky!

"BP stock dropped 81 cents, or 2.7 percent, to $29.52, near a 14-year-old low for the company in U.S. trading. The stocks of other companies associated with the spill remained low despite Feldman's ruling."

Deepwater Horizon accident (Black Swan event)
 
You just need one really bad incident and BP tumbled down near a 14-year-old low for the company in U.S. trading.

Nick Leeson - One Bad Guy
 
"Barings Bank (1762 to 1995) was the oldest merchant bank in London[1] until its collapse in 1995 after one of the bank's employees, Nick Leeson, lost £827 million ($1.3 billion) speculating—primarily—on futures contracts."
 
You just need one really bad Guy and a 100+ years old bank gone!
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
One lesson from here - learn to recover your initial investing capital from the market sooner the better and be safe.

Judge lifts offshore drilling ban as `overbearing'

NEW ORLEANS (AP) -- A federal judge struck down the Obama administration's six-month ban on deepwater oil drilling in the Gulf of Mexico as rash and heavy-handed Tuesday, saying the government simply assumed that because one rig exploded, the others pose an imminent danger, too.


The White House promised an immediate appeal. The Interior Department had imposed the moratorium last month in the wake of the BP disaster, halting approval of any new permits for deepwater projects and suspending drilling on 33 exploratory wells.

White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said President Barack Obama believes that until investigations can determine why the spill happened, continued deepwater drilling exposes workers and the environment to "a danger that the president does not believe we can afford."

Several companies that ferry people and supplies and provide other services to offshore rigs argued that the moratorium was arbitrarily imposed after the April 20 explosion that killed 11 workers and blew out a well 5,000 feet underwater. It has spewed anywhere from 67 million to 127 million gallons of oil.

U.S. District Judge Martin Feldman, who was appointed by President Ronald Reagan and has owned stock in a number of petroleum-related companies, sided with the plaintiffs.

"If some drilling equipment parts are flawed, is it rational to say all are?" he asked. "Are all airplanes a danger because one was? All oil tankers like Exxon Valdez? All trains? All mines? That sort of thinking seems heavy-handed, and rather overbearing."

He also warned that the shutdown would have an "immeasurable effect" on the industry, the local economy and the U.S. energy supply.

Interior Secretary Ken Salazar said in a statement late Tuesday that within the next few days he will issue a new order imposing a moratorium that eliminates any doubt it is needed and appropriate.

Feldman's ruling was welcomed by the oil and gas industry and decried by environmentalists.

Feldman's financial disclosure report for 2008, the most recent available, shows holdings in at least eight petroleum companies or funds that invest in them, including Transocean Ltd., which owned the Deepwater Horizon drilling rig that blew up. The report shows that most of his holdings were valued at less than $15,000; it did not provide specific amounts.

It was not clear whether Feldman still has any of the energy industry stocks. Recent court filings indicate he may no longer have Transocean stock. The 2008 report showed that he did not own any individual shares in big companies such as BP, which leased the rig that exploded, or ExxonMobil.

Feldman did not immediately respond to a request for more information about his current holdings.

Josh Reichert, managing director of the Pew Environment Group, said the ruling should be rescinded if the judge still has investments in companies that could benefit. "If Judge Feldman has any investments in oil and gas operators in the Gulf, it represents a flagrant conflict of interest," Reichert said.

Feldman's ruling prohibits federal officials from enforcing the moratorium until a trial is held. At least two major oil companies, Shell and Marathon, said they would wait to see how the appeals play out before resuming drilling.

In his ruling, the judge called the spill "an unprecedented, sad, ugly and inhuman disaster," but said Salazar's rationale for the moratorium "does not seem to be fact-specific and refuses to take into measure the safety records of those others in the Gulf." Feldman said he was "unable to divine or fathom a relationship between the findings and the immense scope of the moratorium."

The judge said the blanket moratorium "seems to assume that because one rig failed and although no one yet fully knows why, all companies and rigs drilling new wells over 500 feet also universally present an imminent danger."

The lawsuit was filed by Hornbeck Offshore Services of Covington, La. CEO Todd Hornbeck said after the ruling that he is looking forward to getting back to work. "It's the right thing for not only the industry but the country," he said.

Earlier in the day, executives at a major oil conference in London warned that the moratorium would cripple world energy supplies. Steven Newman, president and CEO of Transocean, called it unnecessary and an overreaction.

"There are things the administration could implement today that would allow the industry to go back to work tomorrow without an arbitrary six-month time limit," Newman said.

BP CEO Tony Hayward skipped the event after coming under fire for attending a yacht race in England on Saturday rather than dealing with the spill.

BP stock dropped 81 cents, or 2.7 percent, to $29.52, near a 14-year-old low for the company in U.S. trading. The stocks of other companies associated with the spill remained low despite Feldman's ruling.

The drilling moratorium was declared May 6 and originally was to last only through the month. Obama announced May 27 that he was extending it for six months.

Rep. Edward Markey, D-Mass., chairman of the Select Committee on Energy Independence and Global Warming, slammed the ruling.

"This is another bad decision in a disaster riddled with bad decisions by the oil industry," said Markey, who was at the forefront of the effort to force BP to make underwater video of the spill public. "The only thing worse than one oil spill disaster in the Gulf of Mexico would be two oil spill disasters."

In Louisiana, Gov. Bobby Jindal and corporate leaders had complained that the moratorium would cost the region thousands of lucrative jobs, most paying more than $50,000 a year.

Feldman agreed, writing: "An invalid agency decision to suspend drilling of wells in depths over 500 feet simply cannot justify the immeasurable effect on the plaintiffs, the local economy, the Gulf region and the critical present-day aspect of the availability of domestic energy in this country."

He said Gulf drilling accounts for 31 percent of total domestic oil production and 11 percent of domestic natural gas production, and an estimated 150,000 jobs are directly related to offshore operations.

Tim Kerner, mayor of the fishing town of Lafitte, La., cheered the ruling. "I love it. I think it's great for the jobs here and the people who depend on them," he said.

The American Petroleum Institute, one of the industry's main lobbying groups, also welcomed the decision: "With this ruling, our industry and its people can get back to work to provide Americans with the energy they need, and do it safely and without harming the environment."

In its response to the lawsuit, the Interior Department had argued the moratorium was necessary while the effort to stop the leak and clean the Gulf continues and new safety standards are developed. "A second deepwater blowout could overwhelm the efforts to respond to the current disaster," the department said.

The government also challenged contentions that the moratorium would cause long-term economic harm. There are still 3,600 oil and natural gas production platforms in the Gulf.

As Feldman was issuing his ruling, the people in charge of a $20 billion fund to compensate those whose livelihoods have been ruined by the spill were on the coast Tuesday to talk with officials about the claims process.

Kenneth Feinberg, tapped by the White House to run the fund, has pledged to speed payments to fishermen, business owners and others. He was to meet with Alabama Gov. Bob Riley.

BP claims director Darryl Willis visited a claims center in a rundown strip mall in Bayou La Batre, Ala., and said the company has already cut 37,000 checks for $118 million. Claims totaling about $600 million have been filed so far.

"Anyone who feels like they have been damaged or hurt or harmed has every right to file a claim," Willis said. "These are complicated in some cases, and in some cases they're straightforward. But every person should file their claim, and they will be looked at fairly."

Associated Press Writers Pauline Arrillaga in Lafitte, La., and Jane Wardell and Robert Barr in London, and Mitch Stacy in Bayou La Batre, Ala., contributed to this report.

DOW - Turning ugly once again!

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 148.89 points (1.43 percent) to close at 10,293.52.


NEW YORK (AP) -- Stocks dropped for a second day Tuesday after home sales fell unexpectedly and the White House said it would fight a court ruling that lifted its ban on offshore oil drilling.


The Dow Jones industrial average fell 149 points, its biggest drop in about two weeks. Treasury prices climbed after demand for safe investments rose.

The National Association of Realtors reported that sales of existing homes fell 2.2 percent in May. The report surprised analysts who thought sales would get a lift from a homebuyer tax credit. Sales fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.66 million from a revised 5.79 million in April.

It was the second straight day that the market gave up early gains to end lower. The selling intensified shortly before 2 p.m. Eastern time, when the benchmark Standard & Poor's 500 index fell below 1,111, its average finish of the past 200 days. Many professionals who use technical factors in their buying and selling decisions consider the 200-day moving average, as it's called, to be a predictor of the market's direction. The drop below 1,110 hastened the market's slide because computer programs kicked in and drove more selling.


"Without much tangible information to sink your teeth into investors are going to rely on technicals and right now the technicals broke down," said Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Harris Private Bank in Chicago. "There are a lot of extreme emotions right now and not a lot of information."

The slide came as the Federal Reserve held the first part of a two-day meeting at which it's expected to keep its benchmark federal funds rate in the current range of zero to 0.25 percent. The Fed is maintaining low rates because high unemployment and weakness in the housing market have held back an economic rebound.

Christian Hviid, chief market strategist at Genworth Financial Asset Management in Encino, Calif., said traders are concerned that the Fed will issue a more pessimistic view of the economy in the statement that accompanies its decision on interest rates Wednesday. He said expectations for the economy in the second half of the year might have been too high given that borrowing is still restricted and that consumer spending is still weak.

"Not all risk is gone," Hviid said.

The Dow fell 148.89, or 1.4 percent, to 10,293.52, its biggest point and percentage loss since June 4. It was up as much as 51 points in morning trading. The index is up 4.9 percent from its 2010 closing low of 9,816 on June 7

The S&P 500 index fell 17.89, or 1.6 percent, to 1,095.31, while the Nasdaq composite index fell 27.29, or 1.2 percent, to 2,261.80.

Bond prices rose Tuesday as investors opted for the safety of U.S. Treasurys. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.17 percent from 3.25 percent late Monday.

Tuesday, 22 June 2010

Noble - more upside?


9D EMA cutting 45D EMA soon. Cheers!

CPL - Turning bullish and more upside!

Survived profit taking in a weak market. Good job!

9D EMA cut above 45D EMA.
Turning bullish and more upside!

How much debt should a company have?

Not a Dirty Word: How Companies Use Debt to Improve Their Bottom Line

Does A Highly Leveraged Man Risky To Marry?

Having an optimal balance of debt and equity can help maximise returns, enhance growth and provide a competitive edge


By EUGENE TSE AND GENEVIA WIJAYA NG

HAVE you ever wondered what level of debt your company should take on? It's a seemingly simple - but integral - question that needs to be addressed in every business. Having an optimal balance of debt and equity can help maximise returns, enhance growth and give a company a competitive edge.

Imagine a young enthusiastic entrepreneur, the owner of a fast-growing private company and the chief executive of a listed company. How do they go about getting the funds needed to finance growth? All three are open to different financing options and are going to adopt different capital structures. There are generally three stages in the life cycle of a company. And the financing available at each stage is quite different (see graph). For example, a start-up is not likely to get bank finance due to its limited cashflow track record.

There are only two generic financing options - debt and equity. Debt financing through bank loans is perhaps the most common way of raising capital. Banks charge interest and the loan is typically secured by collateral with personal and/or corporate guarantees. Sometimes, companies may also take loans from shareholders, directors or other companies.

Pros and cons of debt

Equity financing, on the other hand, is when investors inject capital into the company in return for an ownership interest in it. While equity financing is more commonly used by listed companies, private companies can use it too. Investors providing equity financing may be personal contacts of the entrepreneur - such as friends and family - or professional investors such as private equity funds and angel investors.

Debt and equity financing each have advantages and disadvantages that should be considered to match a company's needs.

The main disadvantage of traditional bank debt is that it exposes a company to insolvency risk. Banks are in the business of lending, not investing. As most people know, banks typically do not take on risk with shareholders. Banks evaluate the credit risk before approving a loan. And to further reduce their risk, they often secure the loan with collateral as well as personal guarantees from shareholders.

During an economic recession, it is not uncommon to see our fair-weather banking friends withdraw loans to protect their capital, causing companies to run into cashflow difficulties. This was what happened to quite a few companies during the recent global credit crunch. Fortunately for Singapore, the government stepped in to provide guarantees to make sure banks continued to support local companies.

With the credit crunch still fresh in people's minds, should entrepreneurs and CEOs stay away from debt completely? How much debt is too much? We will try to answer these difficult questions.

Let's start by looking at some of the advantages of debt:

It is a more affordable source of funds than equity. Increasing debt gives shareholders more capital and more capacity to generate cash flow and profits, thus increasing profit to shareholders or return on equity (ROE).

It acts as a tax shield, as interest is tax deductible while dividends are not. Debt financing can reduce a company's tax liability, which translates into a saving in real cash flow.

Because loans often come with debt covenants that companies have to adhere to or risk withdrawal of the funds, debt tends to instil discipline in a company's cash management system and its current ratios.

So if a company needs to raise, say, $5 million for expansion, should it go for debt or equity financing?

Banks are the most natural choice because they are easily accessible. If the banks reject a loan application, this suggests the company's credit risk may be too high, or the funding nature too risky - for example, overseas expansion. This is when management can approach private equity funds or angel investors. While fees and rates are higher, private equity funds will take risky investments in hope of making large upside gains.

As for 'how much debt is too much', we can refer to a study by Aswath Damodaran, Professor of Finance at New York University, as a guide. In this study, data was collected on different industries, including debt-to-equity ratio. From these 2010 statistics, the global average debt-to-equity ratio is 0.8, with the Internet software and services industry having the lowest debt-to-equity ratio of 0.028 and the banking industry having a ratio as high as 20.8. Although the ratio varies across industries, as a rule of thumb, according to the US Chamber of Commerce Small Business Nation, an acceptable debt-to-equity ratio is between 0.3 and 1.0.

Balancing of debt and equity is not a simple matter, so companies should engage professional advisers or use financial and risk models before making a decision.

Eugene Tse is a manager of corporate finance at BDO Advisory Pte Ltd and Genevia Wijaya Ng is an intern

STI - S'pore shares weaker at close

Straits Times 2,872.30 -13.34 -0.46%



By JOANNAH PEREZ


SINGAPORE - Singapore shares closed weaker on Tuesday with the blue-chip Straits Times Index down 13.34 points to 2,872.30.

Volume was 1.14 billion shares worth $1.14 billion.

Losers led gainers 288 to 166.

Value has a value only if its value is valued



Imagine life as a game in which you are juggling some five balls in the air. They are WORK, FAMILY, HEALTH, FRIENDS and SPIRIT and you're keeping all of these in the air.


You will soon understand that WORK is a rubbler ball. If you drop it, it will bounce back. But the other four Balls - FAMILY, HEALTH, FRIENDS and SPIRIT - are made of glass. If you drop one of these, they will be irrevocably scuffed, marked, nicked, damaged or even shattered. They will never be the same. You must understand that and strive for it.

Work efficiently during office hours and leave on time. Give the required time to your family, friends & have proper rest. Value has a value only if its value is valued!

---30 second Speech by Bryan Dyson -Former CEO of Coca Cola

Brazil's Petrobras to invest $224 bln over five years

12 hours ago via Thomson Reuters


SAO PAULO, June 21 (Reuters) - Brazilian state oil company Petrobras  on Monday unveiled a $224 billion five-year investment plan as it pushes forward a campaign to tap billions of barrels of deep water oil reserves. (Reporting by Elzio Barreto and Guillermo Parra Bernal; Editing by John Picinich)

DOW - Lousy fellow!

Dow 10,442.41 -8.23 -0.08%
CNBC
By: Cindy Perman, JeeYeon Park

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended down 8.23, or 0.1 percent, at 10,442.41, after being up more than 100 earlier after China decided to loosen the yuan's peg to the dollar.


The rally faded by late afternoon amid growing doubts about how big an impact such a move would have as Beijing is expected to do it gradually.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also finished lower, with the Nasdaq the worst off of the three. The CBOE volatility index, widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, was above 25 at the closing bell.
---------------------------------------------------

STI will be dead due to panic profit taking!

Monday, 21 June 2010

Kep Corp

SML

NOL carried 34% more containers in May

June 21, 2010, 5.37 pm (Singapore time)


SINGAPORE - Singapore's Neptune Orient Lines (NOL), the world's fifth-biggest container shipping firm, said on Monday it carried 34 per cent more containers in the four weeks to May 28 compared with a year ago.

NOL said in a statement it carried the equivalent of 212,600 40-foot containers (FEUs) on its ships in the period, up from 159,100 a year earlier, as intra-Asia and trans-Pacific trade continued to recover.

The average revenue in the period from each container rose to US$2,768, up 19 per cent from a year earlier. -- REUTERS

STI - Bulls have won this round!




Can the Bulls hold the rally?

S'pore shares close stronger


By JOANNAH PEREZ

SINGAPORE - Singapore shares closed higher on Monday with the blue-chip Straits Times Index up 52.24 points to 2,885.64.

Volume was 1.53 billion shares worth $1.64 billion.

Gainers led losers 413 to 109.

Sunday, 20 June 2010

Roach, O'Neill Say China Shows Confidence in Recovery With Yuan Decision

By Gopal Ratnam and Timothy R. Homan - Jun 20, 2010
Bloomberg News

China’s decision to allow a more flexible yuan shows the country’s leaders are convinced the world economic rebound is durable, said economists Stephen Roach and Jim O’Neill.


“This move is a vote of confidence in the global recovery,” Roach, Chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia Ltd. said in an e-mail. “Markets are going to like” the decision, said Jim O’Neill, chief global economist for Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

China’s central bank said the decision to “increase the renminbi’s exchange-rate flexibility” was made after the world’s third-largest economy improved. Chinese authorities had prevented the currency from strengthening since July 2008 to help exporters cope with sliding demand triggered by the global financial crisis.

The announcement yesterday may help restore investor confidence shaken by the European debt crisis, O’Neill said in an interview in St. Petersburg, Russia.

“It could be that China is doing its bit to rescue the world markets,” he said. “It may allow for attention to be diverted from the obsession with the European monetary union and the sovereign currencies in Europe.”

China’s decision, a week before Group of 20 leaders meet in Toronto to consider ways to safeguard the economic recovery, may deflect criticism that its undervalued currency has added to lopsided global flows of trade and investment. The announcement signals an end to the currency’s two-year-old peg to the dollar.
----------------------------------------------------

Really ah? Rescue market?

K- Green (KGT) - dividend in specie to Kep Corp's shareholder

Kep Corp - Big Pay Day. Thank you!

Resulting from XE, I have decided the following book exercise to the portfolio:
  • Credited a special dividend of $0.23 per share to Kep Corp holding
  • Capitalized K-Green (KGT) holding at $1.15 per share
The net effect of this book exercise to the portfolio will see Kep Corp credited with additional 8.1% dividend yield for FY 09 and KGT will carry an investment cost at $1.15 per share.

Saturday, 19 June 2010

Dividends look safe, until they're not

Published June 19, 2010

Wealth insights
(New York)

"BP will suspend its dividends for the rest of the year and set aside money for cleanup costs and the compensation of workers who have lost income because of the oil spill."


Createwealth8888: Black Swan event can happen anytime and anywhere to any company.

The moral of the story, as always, is to diversify within each asset class you own, the more sources the better

Nothing is forever

This should have been a warning for anyone making big retirement bets on a single stock or a handful of stocks. Things that seem stable can wobble and collapse before our very eyes. And now it's happening again.

It's not supposed to work this way, at least in the minds of the many investors of the old school. To them, a stock that pays a dividend is a stock that is safe. 'It told them that a company was still around and operating, it was in good health,' said Milo M Benningfield, a San Francisco financial planner.

Just because a company pays a dividend now is no guarantee that it will forever, or that the company will even continue to exist. Nor is it any guarantee that the underlying stock is stable.

Everyone needs income in retirement, and dividends aren't a bad way to get it as long as they don't come from a single company. Again and again, we've seen out-of-nowhere scandals and crises and accidents bring big companies to their knees. Why, given the overwhelming evidence that these things do happen once in a while, would you not extract your dividend income from a low-cost, broadly diversified mutual fund that specialises in dividends?

The moral of the story, as always, is to diversify within each asset class you own, whether it's dividend-paying stocks or municipal bonds or the emerging-market countries where you're rolling the dice in search of big gains. Then, diversify your retirement income strategy, too. The more sources the better, whether it's dividend income, interest income, annuity income, rental income or periodic (and tax-savvy) outright sales of stocks or other assets.

Even this sort of diversification might not have protected you from the pain in 2008. But it can shield you from the ruin of betting too heavily on a single security like BP

----------------------------------------

Createwealth8888: When you realize that dividends don't look safe anymore; it is often too late to do anything as the stock price may have plunged far below your initial purchase.

SML

Good deals with high returns will never come to retail investors.

The main purpose of any investment product is to raise fund to meet the investment objective.

So whenever there are good deals with good returns; private bankers, investment managers, deal-makers, private-equities and specialists everywhere will be fighting among themselves and rushing to their rich clients to offer them and they will have no problem in raising the required fund.

These investment managers are well aware of the consequences of selling to the rich clients misrepresented bad deals!

Only for deals that may turn potentially bad or negative that these investment managers will have no other choices but to spend time and efforts to organize road-shows to sell them to retail investors e.g land banking, oilpods, etc. 

This is common sense in the investment domain. The rich clients are given first right of refusal for any investment opportunities. Why retail investors don't seem to understand it? 

Good deals with high returns will never come to retail investors.


Avoid any investment products that promise high returns; 
but are sold to retail investors.



Avoid them or else you may get roasted!



DOW - Posts its biggest two-week gain since last November

Both Bull and Bear are working harder this weekend!
No easy victory for either one.



DOW in Roller-coaster ride

NEW YORK (AP) -- Here's something for investors beaten down by the market's sharp declines this spring: The Dow Jones industrial average just had its best two weeks since November.


The Dow's gain of 16 points on Friday was relatively modest, but it capped a surge of 5.2 percent over the past two weeks that puts the average nearly halfway back to the high for the year that it reached on April 26.

Stocks had a longer winning streak earlier this year, an eight-week stretch that ended in late April, but those gains were more gradual. Then a sharp drop in May and early June brought the Dow down as much as 12.4 percent below its 2010 high, a decline that market analysts call a "correction."

The debate now is focusing on whether that correction phase is over. A correction is generally considered a drop of 10-20 percent from a recent peak. The Dow has risen back 6.5 percent from its lowest close of the year on June 7, but it's still down 6.7 percent from its 2010 high.

"I don't know that we're totally through the correction," said Stu Schweitzer, global markets strategist at JPMorgan's Private Bank in New York. "I do expect markets to remain quite volatile all through the rest of this year, but I still expect that we're going to end the year higher."

The Dow rose 16.47, or 0.2 percent, to close at 10,450.64. The broader Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 1.47, or 0.1 percent, to 1,117.51. The Nasdaq composite index edged up 2.64, or 0.1 percent, to 2,309.80.

All three indicators posted solid gains for the week. The Dow is up 2.3 percent, the S&P 500 2.4 percent and the Nasdaq 3 percent.

The Dow posted its second consecutive weekly gain of more than 2 percent. Before that, the Dow had been down for three weeks. The last time the Dow had a two-week stretch of gains that strong was in November 2009.

Advancing stocks narrowly outpaced those that fell on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 4.9 billion shares, versus 4.6 billion the day before. Volume was heavier because of the simultaneous expiration of four kinds of futures and options contracts, which occurs once every quarter.

Trading was relatively quiet considering the options and futures expirations, which can often bring volatility as traders adjust their portfolios. The week that follows the June expiration is often a losing one for investors. The Dow has posted a loss during that week for the past 11 years, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac.

Friday, 18 June 2010

Hyflux - More upside

Hyflux - Simply amazing!




I only have chance to play Hyflux for five rounds; but I don't remember seeing such amazing recovery!

Hyflux gap up strongly 10 bids at opening; but panicky profit-taking bears pushed it all the way down to cover the gap. 

However, more and more bullish buyers at the sideline wasting no time rushed in to pick up the pieces on sale and pushed it back all the way and closed for 2nd consecutive day at Day High. 

Simply amazing!



Early sellers

STI - No more bullish energy left!


Straits Times 2,833.40 -10.55 -0.37%


By JOANNAH PEREZ


SINGAPORE - Singapore shares closed lower on Friday with the blue-chip Straits Times Index down 10.55 points to 2,833.40.

Volume was 960.20 billion shares worth $1.01 billion.

Losers led gainers 201 to 187.

Noble

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