Despite the drumbeat of calls for a correction and the lingering bad memories of Lehman Brothers' demise one year ago, September is bucking its reputation as the worst month for the stock market. The average return for September since WWII is about negative one percent, by far the worst of any month in history.
So with the S&P 500 up about two percent so far (following a three percent August rise), what's behind this September's surprise gains?
Fast Money Trader Pete Najarian and Raymond James Strategist Jeffrey Saut chalk this up to money managers returning from their relaxing vacation and realizing they better chase this performance. After such a brutal year last year, they can't explain away another such year to clients.
"They probably are getting phone calls right now asking, 'How are we doing?'" said OptionMonster.com's Najarian.
"The Pro's are staring at their October fiscal year end where performance pressure, bonus pressure and ultimately job pressure should push them into more more stocks", wrote Saut, back in his post-Labor day commentary to clients. In his latest note, Saut noted that this phenomenon still augurs for more positive sentiment this week.
Chasing performance isn't the kind of basis for a new long-term bull market however, so how will you know when this game of musical chairs will all end?
Market Outlook (26/05/12): Selling Eases As Trader Sidelined For News!
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In last week, STI merely fell 6 points from the opening of 2779 and close
lower at 2773. A black candle sticks with long upper lower shadow affirms
that bu...
1 hour ago

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